Maç Tahmini: MOUZ - Vitality | Counter-Strike (CS2)

In one of the first matches of the fourth round of IEM Road to Rio 2022 Europe RMR B, teams such as MOUZ and Vitality will face each other. As in the case of BIG vs Heroic, this match can be interesting, but with a high degree of probability, representatives of Team Vitality will win. Experts from bookmakers believe that ZyWoo and the company have a 64% chance of triumph, and the odds are equal to 1.45. Is it right to bet on their victory or can I look for some other options?

MOUZ uniform

MOUZ is the 9th team in the world ranking, which performed well at the last ESL Pro League Season 16, taking 5-8th place there. Their troubles did not go away at IEM Road to Rio 2022 Europe RMR B. After defeating OG with a score of 16-10, the team faced an insurmountable obstacle in the form of Natus Vincere. In the fight against the latter, the roster could not achieve victory after taking 11 rounds. The third meeting with K23 turned out to be an easier challenge and the team won with a score of 16-10. Interestingly, the team lost on their best map, Mirage, but defeated K23 on their worst map, Ancient. Probably at the moment the data about their win rate on the maps does not contribute too much, however, it cannot be discounted either.

MOUZ performed best on Overpass and Dust 2, where their win rate is 100%, however, in the first case, 3 maps were played, and in the second, only 1. On Mirage, before the meeting with NaVi, MOUZ had no losses, and the winning streak was 10 matches. The top 4 maps include Vertigo with a 60% win rate with 5 maps played. On Inferno, Nuke and Ancient the win rate is 44.4%, 42.9% and 33.3% respectively.

History of recent MOUZ meetings

IEM Road to Rio 2022 Europe RMR B

• MOUZ 16-10 K23
• MOUZ 11-16 Natus Vincere
• MOUZ 16-10OG

MOUZ card statistics

• Overpass (3 cards) - 100%
• Dust 2 (1 card) - 100%
• Mirage (11 cards) - 90.9%
• Vertigo (5 cards) - 60%
• Inferno (9 cards) - 44.4%
• Nuke (7 cards) - 42.9%
• Ancient (6 cards) - 33.3%

Team Vitality uniform

Team Vitality is the clear favorite of this meeting and is also the champion of the past ESL Pro League Season 16. After the triumph, the team did not relax in the very first match and performed well in the fight against FANTASY, beating the latter with a score of 16-6. After that, the team was not ready for what BIG could show and were defeated in the fight against them. After that, the roster rehabilitated and defeated Monte with a score of 16-7. Vitality has 1 more right to make a mistake, but, apparently, the team does not plan to use it and is going to win the upcoming match. In fights where Vitality came out victorious, the teams could not take a large number of rounds. An interesting fact: Vitality loves Dust 2 so much that they played it in all three past confrontations. The meeting with MOUZ will be the first match for them, where the team will not be able to limit themselves to one Dust 2. By the way, it is in the top 2 of their best maps with a 75% win rate.

The first place in this list is occupied by Vertigo with a score of 85.7%. Third place goes to Inferno with a win rate of 66.7%. As many as 9 matches were played there, which speaks to the variability of Vitality's success in this place.

History of recent Team Vitality meetings

IEM Road to Rio 2022 Europe RMR B

• Team Vitality 16-7
• Team Vitality 10-16 BIG
• Team Vitality 16-6 FANTASY

Team Vitality Card Statistics

• Vertigo (7 cards) - 85.7%
• Dust 2 (8 cards) - 75%
• Inferno (9 cards) - 66.7%
• Overpass (3 cards) - 66.7%
• Mirage (10 cards) - 50%
• Nuke (7 cards) - 42.9%

Conclusion

Considering the map pool and the fact that teams can play on many maps, and their map pool in terms of performance differs from each other, we can conclude that the upcoming meeting will be held on three maps. Ultimately, Vitality will most likely win. From this, you can bet on the following markets: Vitality win with odds of 1.45, Total over 2.5 cards with odds of 1.95, and the exact score 2-1 in favor of Team Vitatity with odds of 3.20. MOUZ is the most serious team among all that Vitality has already played with in this event, and if they lost in the fight against BIG, then all the more they can lose at least one map in the match against MOUZ. Due to the fact that I like the golden mean in the ratio of risk/profit, my choice will be the Total over 2.5 cards market with a coefficient of 1.95. Such odds are generous enough for the upcoming match.

Final bet: Total over 2.5 rounds with odds of 1.95