Maç Tahmini: NaVi - MOUZ | CS2 (CS:GO)
IEM Road to Rio 2022 European RMR BIn one of the closing confrontations of today's gaming day, Intel Extreme Masters Road to Rio 2022 Europe RMR B will play Natus Vincere and MOUZ against each other. Although the team is in the top 10 best CS:GO teams in the world, they are still in slightly different weight categories, as evidenced by the opinion of experts from bookmakers on this matter. According to their assumptions, the chances of Natus Vincere winning are equal to 68%, which is equivalent to a coefficient of 1.36. Betting on their victory will not be very profitable and, nevertheless, is not without risk. Let's look at the game form of both participants of the meeting and find some kind of compromise in accordance with risk to profit.
Natus Vincere uniform
NAVI is the 2nd team in the world according to the HLTV portal. The team recently played at ESL Pro League Season 16, but the result cannot be called unequivocally successful. Roster was able to make it to the playoffs through the group stage, but ultimately stopped a step away from reaching the semi-finals and finished 5-8 in the standings. Then, at the group stage, the team beat Fnatic and Team Spirit, but lost in the confrontations with Endpoint, Vitality and NiP. If Vitality eventually became the winners of the event, then the failure against Endpoint and NiP raises some concerns. In the playoffs, NAVI beat Heroic, but did not defeat their principal rival in the face of G2 Esports. The debut at IEM Road to Rio 2022 EU RMR B turned out to be very successful. In the match against Illuminar, s1mple lost only 5 rounds with his teammates, but it's worth considering that the match took place on one of their favorite maps, Dust 2. If MOUZ is likely to ban Nuke, then Dust 2 might well be played.
There are two strong cards in Natus Vincere's map pool: Nuke and Dust 2. Both of them have a win rate of 80% and were played 5 times in each. NAVI can also show a good performance on Mirage with Overpass, where the percentage of wins is equal to 63.6% and 62.5%. On Inferno and Ancient, they often perform poorly, and Vertigo is avoided in every possible way.
History of recent Natus Vincere meetings
IEM Road to Rio 2022 Europe RMR B
- Natus Vincere 16-5 Illuminar Gaming
ESL Pro League Season 16 (playoffs)
- Natus Vincere 1-2 G2 Esports
- Natus Vincere 2-1 Heroic
ESL Pro League Season 16 (group stage)
- Natus Vincere 1-2 NiP
- Natus Vincere 1-2 Team Vitality
- Natus Vincere 0-2
- Natus Vincere 2-1 Fnatic
- Natus Vincere 2-0 Team Spirit
Natus Vincere map statistics
- Dust 2 (5 cards) - 80%
- Nuke (5 cards) - 80%
- Mirage (11 cards) - 63.6%
- Overpass (8 cards) - 62.5%
- Inferno (9 cards) - 44.4%
- Ancient (3 cards) - 33.3%
MOUZ uniform
MOUZ, like Natus Vincere, performed neither well nor badly at ESL Pro League Season 16. They took 5th-8th place there, losing in the last match against Liquid, who almost got the victory. In the group stage of this event, MOUZ showed themselves even better than Natus Vincere, which cannot be said about the playoffs. There, they immediately lost in the fight against Liquid, without taking a single card from the latter. MOUZ's debut at the IEM Road to Rio 2022 EU RMR B was generally successful, but not without problems. If NAVI lost only 5 rounds to their opponents, then MOUZ lost in 10 rounds, but in fairness, I note that they were up against stronger OG, and not some Illuminar. However, the team looks like a member who can force a fight on their opponents.
MOUZ's map pool pleases more than Natus Vincere's. The team shows good results on two maps at once. Mirage is their main trump card, where the team undeniably wins in all matches, as evidenced by a 100% win rate on 10 maps played. So far, they have not suffered defeats on Overpass, where the percentage of wins is also 100%, and the number of matches played is 4. On Dust 2 and Vertigo, the team also has good performance, but in the case of Dust 2, only one match was played, which ended victory, and on Vertigo for 5 meetings they have a win percentage of 60%.
History of recent MOUZ meetings
IEM Road to Rio 2022 Europe RMR B
- MOUZ 16-10OG
ESL Pro League Season 16 (playoffs)
- MOUZ 0-2 Team Liquid
ESL Pro League Season 16 (group stage)
- MOUZ 2-1 HEET
- MOUZ 2-1 Complexity Gaming
- MOUZ 2-0 ENCE
- MOUZ 0-2 Astralis
- MOUZ 2-0 Heroic
MOUZ card statistics
- Mirage (10 cards) - 100%
- Overpass (4 cards) - 100%
- Dust 2 (1 card) - 100%
- Vertigo (5 cards) - 60%
- Inferno (10 cards) - 50%
- Nuke (9 cards) - 44.4%
- Ancient (7 cards) - 28.6%
Conclusion
Despite the seemingly good form of MOUZ and their ability to fight in the upcoming match, we must not forget that Natus Vincere showed a serious performance in the first match of the current tournament. After the loss at ESL Pro League Season 16, the team will be extremely motivated to win the IEM Road to Rio 2022 Europe RMR B and enter the top 3 in order to immediately get into the Legends Stage of the next Major tournament with a prize pool of $1,250,000. Thus, I come to the conclusion that it would be a good idea to bet on Handicap in favor of Natus Vincere. Two good options are Handicap -3.5 rounds with a coefficient of 1.80 and Handicap -2.5 rounds with a coefficient of 1.60. I prefer the first option. Despite the fact that MOUZ may surprise us a little, they are unlikely to take 12 rounds.
Final bet: Handicap -3.5 rounds in favor of Natus Vincere with odds of 1.80
Bookmakers & Statistics
Artık bahis şirketlerinin çoğu NaVi zafere inanıyor. Onlara oranlar eşittir 1.24. Bahisçilerin verilerine göre MOUZ yabancı ve zafer miktarları 7.64 için oranlar.
Katılımcılar son maçlarda nasıl performans gösterdi?
Son Maçlar | NaVi | MOUZ |
5 maç (galibiyet) | 2 | 3 |
10 maç (galibiyet) | 6 | 7 |
Başarılı bahisler için takımlar arasındaki kişisel savaşların istatistikleri de önemlidir. Takımlar daha önce birbirleriyle 28 maç oynadı. Bu savaşlarda NaVi 15 zafer elde ederken, MOUZ 13 maç almayı başardı.