Maç Tahmini: OG - Heroic | Counter-Strike (CS2)

OG and Heroic will compete in the next match of today's gaming day Intel Extreme Masters Road to Rio 2022 Europe RMR B. This meeting will determine not only the participant who will take 3rd place in the standings, but also the team that will go to the Major tournament as a “Legend” ”, which will skip the Contenders Stage and Challengers Stage. To put it mildly, both teams have a serious incentive to win this match. According to experts from bookmakers, Heroic is rightly marked as the favorite of the meeting, however, as for their assumptions about the likelihood of a triumph, one can disagree. According to their judgment, the chances of Heroic winning are 61%, which is equivalent to a coefficient of 1.52. Will Heroic win or will OG be able to pleasantly surprise their fans? And if you bet, can you still choose some alternative market? Well, let's figure it out.

OG game uniform

The start of the 14th team in the world in this championship was not set, as a result of which OG were defeated in the fight against MOUZ with a score of 10-16. After that, in two Bo1 confrontations with Illuminar and Falcons, the team won with a score of 16-5 and 16-12, respectively. The team had to play in tiebreakers in order to earn their right to enter the top 3 participants and go to the Major tournament directly to the Legends Stage. Their confrontation with the Outsiders ended with a score of 2-1 and now the team needs to fight Heroic. It is noteworthy that in the duel with Outsiders, the team could not win on their beloved Ancient, taking 13 rounds there, and on Dust 2, which is also in their top 2 best maps, the team defeated their opponent. The last point in this match was their triumph on Inferno, where the win rate is 60%, which is relatively low. I would also like to note the fact that the Outsiders are now on the 12th line in the world top by HLTV. If OG were able to beat them, then defeating Heroic, who are on the same list at 10th line, seems not such an impossible task.

In addition to Ancient and Dust 2, OG can also perform well on Overpass and, as it has recently become clear, also on Inferno. But Mirage and Vertigo are better to avoid - there the percentage of victories is only 50%. Considering that OG's win rate on all maps fluctuates between 50% and 75%, this team can be safely called somewhat diverse in terms of approach to choosing maps.

History of recent OG meetings

IEM Road to Rio 2022 Europe RMR B

• OG 2-1 Outsiders
• OG 16-12 Falcons
• OG 16-5 Illuminar Gaming
• OG 10-16 MOUZ

OG map stats

• Ancient (8 cards) - 75%
• Dust 2 (7 cards) - 71.4%
• Overpass (6 cards) - 66.7%
• Inferno (5 cards) - 60%
• Mirage (8 cards) - 50%
• Vertigo (4 cards) - 50%

Heroic Game Uniform

The Danish team is on the 10th place in the list of the best CS:GO rosters in the world according to the HLTV portal. The team played at the RMR championship with varying success, but in most cases they won. Their debut began with a victory over SAW, where the team lost only 5 rounds. After that, the confrontation with the Outsiders did not work out and the team was defeated with a score of 12-16. Subsequent matches against Sangal, BIG and Vitality ended in victory for Heroic. The last one was held in Bo3 format and there the Danes lost one map. They lost on Inferno, which they themselves chose. There, by the way, now the win rate is 75%. On Ancient and Nuke, the team performs with success in 100% and 83.3% of cases, respectively.

As for the overall arsenal of Heroic, it consists of three maps where they perform very well, one map where they have a 50% chance of winning, and three maps where they should not appear. The former include Ancient, Nuke and Inferno with 100%, 83.3% and 75% win rates. In the second category is Mirage with a win rate of 50%, and in the list of the most unfortunate maps for them are Overpass, Vertigo and Dust 2, where Heroic won 33.3%, 33.3% and 0% of the time.

History of recent Heroic meetings

IEM Road to Rio 2022 Europe RMR B

• Heroic 2-1 Team Vitality
• Heroic 2-0 BIG
• Heroic 16-6 Sangal
• Heroic 12-16 Outsiders
• Heroic 16-5saw

Heroic Card Statistics

• Ancient (2 cards) - 100%
• Nuke (6 cards) - 83.3%
• Inferno (8 cards) - 75%
• Mirage (6 cards) - 50%
• Overpass (6 cards) - 33.3%
• Vertigo (3 cards) - 33.3%
• Dust 2 (1 card) - 0%

Conclusion

As we can see, the last team Heroic beat, Team Vitality, is one of the best. After defeating Vitality, OG may seem like an easy challenge for Heroic, but this, in turn, can also play a cruel joke. However, Heroic should win. I don’t really agree with the bookmakers in the sense that the odds for the favorite are equal to 1.52, and not 1.60 or 1.65, for example, since you can’t write off the OG account, but I agree with the choice of the favorite. In this case, teams can play on three maps. The teams love to perform on Ancient, which we will most likely see, and both participants do not like Vertigo, which we will see in the bathhouse in this confrontation. It seems to me that the rosters will compete on Ancient, Inferno and Mirage. In this scenario, this Bo3 can become full-fledged, and therefore I think that in this case you can bet on Total more than 2.5 cards with odds of 1.95 or on Handicap +1.5 cards in favor of OG with odds of 1.45. I also assume that the meeting will end with a score of 2-1 in favor of Heroic and if you bet on this risky market, the odds will be quite generous - 3.20. Ultimately, this is a match for entering the Major tournament in the Legends Stage, and therefore we should expect a tight fight. My final choice, which, by the way, corresponds to the rule of the golden mean between risk and profit - a bet on Total over 2.5 cards with a coefficient of 1.95.

Final bet: Total over 2.5 cards with odds of 1.95