Maç Tahmini: Outsiders - Monte | CS2 (CS:GO)

In the second match of the first game day of IEM Road to Rio 2022 Europe RMR B, Outsiders and Monte will play against each other. This meeting cannot be called very important, but the winner of the match will be able to give a good start to his participation in this event and increase the chances of qualifying for IEM Rio Major 2022 with a prize pool of $1,250,000.

Experts from bookmakers estimate the chances of Outsiders winning at 72%, which translates into a fairly low odds of 1.30. It is worth paying special attention to the format of the upcoming meeting - the teams will fight in a Bo1 match and they will not have the right to make a mistake.

Bet on winning or choose an alternative market? If the second option, what is the best market to choose? We will look for answers to these questions in this forecast.

Outsiders uniform

Now the Outsiders are in 16th place in the list of the best CS:GO teams in the world according to HLTV. The team climbed one line on September 23. The last tournament in which the team took part was ESL Pro League Season 16. There, Jame and his teammates successfully passed through the group stage, after which they were defeated in the quarterfinals in the fight against Vitality. The team could not do anything with the latter and did not take a single card.

Nevertheless, on its unfinished path to success, the roster managed to beat BIG, FTW, MIBR and FURIA Esports, which is quite good, and the above-mentioned teams for the most part have a game form that is a cut above that of Monte, with which the Outsiders will have to fight. Jame and the company opened the autumn season more or less well and are now ready for performances at IEM Rio 2022 Europe RMR B and the first confrontation with Monte.

In choosing the maps of the Russian team, you can see the predilection for Inferno and Vertigo. The team not only often plays these maps, but also successfully, as evidenced by their win rate on Inferno and Vertigo with a figure of 72.7% and 71.4%, respectively. Also, the roster can show a more or less tolerable fight on Dust 2, where the percentage of wins is 50%. On the rest of the maps, it is better not to play them.

History of recent Outsiders meetings

ESL Pro League Season 16

• Outsiders 0-2 Team Vitality
• Outsiders 2-1 FURIA Esports
• Outsiders 0-2 G2 Esports
• Outsiders 2-0 MIBR
• Outsiders 1-2 FaZe Clan
• Outsiders 2-0 FTW
• Outsiders 2-0 BIG

Best Outsiders cards

• Inferno (11 cards) - 72.7%
• Vertigo (7 cards) - 71.4%
• Dust 2 (6 cards) - 50%
• Ancient (4 cards) - 25%
• Mirage (1 card) - 0%
• Overpass (1 card) - 0%

Game form Monte

The first thing that catches your eye when viewing the Monte team is the international component of the team. The team consists of two Ukrainians, a Bulgarian, a Jordanian and a Swede. First of all, this speaks of not such good communication as in the case of Oustiders, where everyone speaks the same language. The second unfavorable argument in favor of Monte is the team's position in the HLTV world ranking, where the roster is in 50th place.

The team in the first decade of the September days tried to qualify for the closed qualifiers for the ESL Challenger Rotterdam 2022 through the European open qualifiers, but to no avail. The team first beat Wolsung and Websterz, after which they successfully lost in the fight against Tricked Esports, the 65th team in the world ranking, which, to put it mildly, is inferior in skills to the Outsiders.

How can Monte respond to strong Inferno and Vertigo by Outsiders? On Vertigo they have a win rate of 40%, and on Inferno they have a win rate of 100%, but only 1 match was played there. But Mirage is, perhaps, the trump card of the international squad. With 13 maps played, the roster showed 84.6% profit, which is more than good, but the representatives of Outsiders will most likely ban this map. Therefore, in all other respects, the roster is unlikely to be able to impose some kind of struggle.

Monte match history

ESL Challenger Rotterdam 2022 Europe Open Qualifier 1

• Monte 1-2 Tricked Esport
• Monte 16-13 Websterz
• Monte 16-5 Volsung

The best maps of Monte

• Overpass (2 cards) - 100%
• Inferno (1 card) - 100%
• Mirage (13 cards) - 84.6%
• Nuke (11 cards) - 63.6%
• Dust 2 (9 cards) - 55.6%
• Vertigo (5 cards) - 40%

Conclusion

The upcoming match between the participants of the meeting will most likely be a one-sided game and there is no reason to doubt the success of the Outsiders yet. There are no prerequisites for them to lose, except that this meeting will be the debut in this tournament, and the first matches tend to be unpredictable.

Therefore, in this case, it will not be superfluous for us to choose some kind of handicap in favor of the Outsiders. I prefer to bet on less risky markets, however, the victory in favor of the favorite of the meeting in this case does not have a very good risk-to-profit ratio. For this reason, I offer Handicap -2.5 rounds and -3.5 rounds with odds of 1.45 and 1.62 respectively. Here it already depends on how much the player is willing to risk, but my choice remains with the Handicap market -2.5 rounds in favor of the Outsiders with a coefficient of 1.45. The ideal ratio of risks to possible profit.

Final bet: Handicap -2.5 rounds in favor of Outsiders with odds of 1.45