Maç Tahmini: Vitality - FANTASY | CS2 (CS:GO)
IEM Road to Rio 2022 European RMR BIn one of the first confrontations that will take place as part of the debut gaming day of Intel Extreme Masters Road to Rio 2022 Europe RMR B, Team Vitality and FANTASY will fight. Is it really worth considering whether FANTASY will be able to beat the champions of the recently concluded ESL Pro League Season 16? Although the answer in this case will be negative, it is worth doing an analysis in order to choose the right alternative market for a good rate.
Experts from bookmakers rightly estimate the probability of winning the match as 89%, which is expressed in a coefficient of 1.05. To choose from alternatives, they offer different handicaps, ranging from -4.5 rounds in favor of Vitality to -9.5 rounds handicap. Which one is better to choose? Or maybe you should pay attention to the total rounds? Let's deal with this issue!
Team Vitality uniform
Team Vitality are the champions of the recently ended ESL Pro League Season 16. In the grand final, although not without great effort, they still defeated their main opponent in the face of Team Liquid, who gained excellent playing shape during the event. It is worth noting that during the ESL Pro League Vitality suffered only 2 defeats on the map and this was in the group stage. After that, they lost the next map only in the grand final. Thus, it involuntarily creates the feeling that FANTASY has absolutely no chance of winning and they are unlikely to be able to take a large number of rounds in the fight against ZyWoo and his teammates.
The team is also in perfect order with the map pool. Vitality are kings of Dust 2 and perform reasonably well on Inferno, Vertigo and Overpass. They have an 83.3% win rate on Dust 2 and a 66.7% win rate on the other battlegrounds listed above. It is worth considering that these statistics reflect the performance of Vitality against teams of the first echelon or, in other words, Tier-1 teams, and FANTASY, to put it mildly, do not reach the level of Vitality's opponents, and therefore even a win rate of 66.7% can be considered a very good indicator for the French - the Danish team.
History of recent Team Vitality meetings
ESL Pro League Season 16 (playoffs)
- Team Vitality 3-2 Team Liquid
- Team Vitality 2-0 G2 Esports
- Team Vitality 2-0 Outsiders
ESL Pro League Season 16 (group stage)
- Team Vitality 2-0 Team Spirit
- Team Vitality 2-1 Natus Vincere
- Team Vitality 2-1 Fnatic
- Team Vitality 2-0 NiP
- Team Vitality 2-0 Endpoint
Team Vitality Card Statistics
- Dust 2 (6 cards) - 83.3%
- Inferno (9 cards) - 66.7%
- Vertigo (9 cards) - 66.7%
- Overpass (6 cards) - 66.7%
- Mirage (10 cards) - 50%
- Nuke (7 cards) - 42.9%
Game uniform FANTASY
FANTASY are several goals behind Vitality in every aspect. Firstly, the roster is not made up of the strongest players, who are significantly below the level of Vitality in individual and team terms, and their experience leaves much to be desired. The team is ranked 48th in the list of the best CS:GO rosters in the world according to the HLTV portal. In addition, the team last took part in matches on the professional stage on August 23. Then the players took 3rd-4th place in the open qualifiers for IEM Road to Rio 2022 Europe RMR B, thanks to which they were included in the list of participants in this event. They then beat LF0, 1PIN and los kogutos, and the victories were given in an extremely difficult way. The first confrontations ended with a score of 16-14 and 19-17, and in the last meeting they lost to their opponents on one map.
As for the map pool, there are some difficulties due to the lack of a large amount of data and, accordingly, the statistics cannot be called objective. FANTASY won twice on Overpass and once each on Dust 2 and Nuke, while failing to win on Mirage. On other maps, Topa and the company have not played under this tag yet.
History of recent meetings FANTASY
IEM Road to Rio 2022 Europe Open Qualifier 3
- FANTASY 2-1 los kogutos
- FANTASY 19-17 1PIN
- FANTASY 16-14 LF0
FANTASY stats
- Overpass (2 cards) - 100%
- Dust 2 (1 card) - 100%
- Nuke (1 card) - 100%
- Mirage (1 card) - 0%
Conclusion
FANTASY really has almost no chance of winning against Vitality. The last time the players performed on stage was in August, while Vitality just completed their participation in ESL Pro League Season 16, where they fought against the strongest and showed a real master class. Of course, the fatigue factor can play a role, but ZyWoo and his comrades are professionals in their field, and therefore I doubt that they will allow themselves to relax even in a match against FANTASY.
Topa and his teammates had a hard time beating the third tier teams in the open qualifier, and this suggests a small number of rounds taken in the fight against Vitality. Therefore, instead of betting on the favorite to win, it is better to choose a handicap. The best option for me in terms of risk to profit ratio seems to be -6.5 rounds Handicap in favor of Vitality. This means that they will have to win by 7 rounds. The team is unlikely to allow its opponents to take more than 8 rounds. The coefficient for this market is 1.47. Not the most generous reward, but Vitality will surely close this Bo1 meeting with a crushing score.
Final bet: Handicap -6.5 rounds in favor of Team Vitality with odds of 1.47
Bookmakers & Statistics
Tüm bahisçiler favorinin Vitality olduğu konusunda hemfikir. Bu, bahis oranları 1.035 olduğu için fark edilebilir. FANTASY lehine olan bu sayı 11.758 tutar. Sırasıyla, sonuncular yaklaşan maçın zayıfları.
Takımların son maçlardaki başarıları neler?
Son Maçlar | Vitality | FANTASY |
5 maç (galibiyet) | 2 | 3 |
10 maç (galibiyet) | 5 | 3 |
Başarılı bahisler için takımlar arasındaki kişisel savaşların istatistikleri de önemlidir. Yarışmacılar 0 maç yaptı. Bu savaşlarda Vitality 0 zafer elde ederken, FANTASY 0 maç almayı başardı.