Heroic and BIG will meet in the upper bracket semi-finals of the ESL Pro League Season 17 group stage. The winner of this fight will definitely make it to the playoffs, but along the way will play a match for a direct ticket to the quarter-finals of the competition.
I don't think there is any intrigue here, because the Danish team is in great shape. It is clear that it is impossible to judge by a crushing victory over Movistar Riders - after all, the Spaniards are complete meat.
However, we also saw a weak play by BIG against the backdrop of the North Americans from Complexity Gaming, only miraculously turning the situation on the Vertigo map in our favor.
Interestingly, the teams have already played in January, and then the German team even managed to take the map. I do not think that the situation will repeat itself this time, but I see no reason to take risks.
Therefore, here I would look at the obvious victory of Heroic, who will put pressure on BIG and play the first number. With this, the Germans, given the current problems, will definitely be bad.
Form Heroic
The second team of the world ranking played ambiguously in the framework of the opening tournament BLAST Premier Spring Groups 2023, where they managed to lose once in the group to Evil Geniuses. Nevertheless, in the Play-In the Danish team got what they needed and solved their problem.
Of the latter, Heroic took second place at the end of IEM Katowice 2023. Yes, the team gained during the championship, but still failed to reach G2 Esports in the grand final.
If you look at the start within the group stage of ESL Pro League Season 17, then here the team finished Movistar Riders without a chance. Of course, that this victory only emphasizes the failure of the Spaniards, but the Danes played almost without errors.
Heroic's latest results:
- Victory over OG with a score of 2:0.
- Victory over Vitality with a score of 2:0.
- Victory over Natus Vincere with a score of 2:0.
- Defeated by G2 with a score of 1:3.
- Victory over Movistar Riders with a score of 2:0.
Best Heroic Maps:
- Overpass - 80% of wins.
- Mirage - 71% of wins.
- Inferno - 70% win rate.
- Vertigo - 50% of wins.
Let's not forget that the Danish team usually refuses the Anubis card.
Form BIG
The seventeenth team in the world ranking managed to fail in the group stage of IEM Katowice 2023, where they found two quick defeats from G2 Esports and Team Spirit in order to go home and make changes in the roster.
Immediately after that, the German team managed to qualify for IEM Rio 2023, but also managed to lose in the first round of the CCT West Europe Series 1 playoffs, moreover, to Spirit Academy.
Nevertheless, at the start of the group stage of ESL Pro League Season 17, the BIG team managed to finish off Complexity Gaming, although the Germans looked very modest in terms of the game. In general, there is a completely logical situation here, when one team simply cannot.
Latest BIG results:
- Victory over HEET with a score of 2:0.
- Victory over ENCE with a score of 2:0.
- Victory over HONORIS with a score of 2:1.
- Defeat from Spirit Academy with a score of 0:2.
- Victory over Complexity Gaming with a score of 2:1.
Best BIG cards:
- Nuke - 67% of wins.
- Mirage - 62% of wins.
- Ancient - 60% of wins.
- Inferno - 50% win rate.
In turn, the German team began to often refuse the Overpass map.
Heroic – BIG meeting statistics
As part of the current season, the teams held one meeting - Heroic won at BLAST Premier Spring Groups 2023 (2:0).
Prediction for the match Heroic — BIG
Let's do without intrigue, because Heroic is now in a form close to ideal. In turn, the German team is going through far from the best of times, but at least Complexity Gaming managed to beat.
I won’t say that some cards are right on the server, but almost everywhere the Danes have twice the chance. Again, I don't see the point in taking risks because BIG might wake up and fold one card.
Therefore, in this case, I would recommend betting on the victory of the Heroic team with Handicap in rounds (-5.5).
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