Maç Tahmini: OG - Evil Geniuses | Dota 2

Welcome to EGamersWorld.

We continue to follow the action at DreamLeague Season 21. Group B matches are back on the screens.

OG and EG will play their first match in the last major commercial tournament of the season. The format of the match is Bo2, as before.

We will try to find out whether there will be a winner in this duel, who will be able to win the big event or everything will end in peace.

Let's go.

Evil Geniuses uniforms

Let's open the match with an analysis of Evil Geniuses' form. In this match, the team will play as favourites.

Bookmakers confirm this. The odds for the victory of EG are at around 3.2.

Given the format of the meeting, we can say we are waiting for an equal game. Such odds for Bo2 are nothing like 1.85 in Bo3, i.e. parity. And not for nothing bookmakers do not really believe in Evil Geniuses.

In the first round of DPC 2023 SA Division 1, Evil Geniuses finished second. It was not enough to beat Beastcoast. Later visited The Lima Major 2023, where they more than made up for the loss in their home league by finishing top 6 in the Peruvian tournament.

Then play the second round of the DPC in South America and again top 2, and again Beastcoast are ahead. However, the international scene helps again, where EG are already top 4 at ESL One Berlin Major 2023, making them the highest performing team from the region in history.

In the third DPC cycle, Evil Geniuses finally clawed their way back to the top of the regional scene. Evil Geniuses won DPC 2023: SA Division 1. And after such a good streak of high scores, EG fell face down in the mud, finishing in the top 18 at Bali Major 2023.

• Evil Geniuses line-up: Pakazs, Chris Luck, Wisper, Matthew, Pandaboo.

Evil Geniuses made it to the Riyadh Masters 2023 thanks to ESL rankings and the merits of the past. I don't know if Bali Major 2023 was a mental breakdown or if EG really started playing so badly.

After failing at Bali Major 2023, I didn't expect anything good from EG, but EG turned it on. The Evil Geniuses closed out the first game day with a 3-1 win over 9 Pandas and finished with a draw against Team Spirit. However, it was not possible to finish what they started: at the end of Riyadh Masters 2023 Evil Geniuses finished in the Top 12, which was a so-so result.

After participating in Riyadh Masters 2023, Evil Geniuses visited BB Dacha. They failed it, ranking in the top 6 out of 8 places.

Evil Geniuses most popular heroes

Evil Geniuses' top most popular heroes were Beastmaster and Death Prophet. Both heroes were taken 8 times each and had 75% wins.

Following DP and Primal Beast was Leshrac, and he was most often played in the third position. He appeared 6 times and had a 66% winrate.

Also peaking were Marci (5 matches, 60% wins), Templar Assassin (4 matches, 100% wins), Jakiro (4 matches, 100% lunch).

OG Form

We continue the match breakdown by analysing OG's match performance. In this match they are playing second best.

Bookmakers do not really believe in OG. The odds on the victory of the Europeans are at around 4.

Again, such a figure speaks only about parity, rather than the advantage or lag of one of the parties. Although, even against the backdrop of the tired EG, OG look worse.

At DPC 2023: WEU Division 1 Tour 1, OG couldn't guarantee themselves a top-4 finish and consequently missed out on The Lima Major 2023. Things seemed to pick up during the second round of DPC 2023: WEU Division 1 Tour 2. Then OG made a strong-willed comeback and made it to the Top 4 after tiebreaks.

At the Berlin Major, the team played with two stand-ins and made it to the top 6, but it seems that those stand-ins were the secret to their success. After returning to regular season matches with a full roster, OG looked critically bad, but at the last moment they improved.

At DPC 2023: WEU Tour 3, OG Long Team went down to the wire, but managed to keep their place in the top division by finishing in the top 5 in the third round of the professional season. By the way, at the last DreamLeague S19 OG also took 5th place and this is an indicator, but it is unlikely to be repeated in the new season.

• OG roster: Yuragi, bzm, MinD_ControlL, Ceb, Taiga .

After a year-long extravaganza, Ceb is the new OG player. OG resorted to their ultimatum weapon during DreamLeague Season 20, but it didn't help them and OG finished in the top 20.

After DreamLeague Season 20, OG attended another championship of a larger calibre, the Riyadh Masters 2023. Unfortunately for them, they ended it on a Minor note - in TOP-14.

"Closed" the season with a performance at the closed Western European qualifiers for The International 2023. The once two-time world champions failed to make it through the most competitive qualifiers and as a result, OG flew past The International.

Most popular OG characters

Among the favourite OG characters: Keeper of the Light (6 matches, 83% wins), Phantom Lancer (5 matches, 60% wins).

Most successful: Crystal Maiden (4 matches, 100% wins), Underlord (4 matches, 100% wins), Alchemist (3 matches, 100% wins), Storm Spirit (3 matches, 100% wins), Void Spirit (3 matches, 100% wins).

Head-to-head history of Evil Geniuses vs OG

EG and OG have played each other three times in 2023. EG won twice during the season and only 1 match ended in a draw.

Predicted result of Evil Geniuses vs OG at DreamLeague Season 21

By the numbers, the match looks pretty even and should actually end in a draw. Both teams are on the decline, which also speaks in favour of a close game with an undecided winner. However, for OG, the tournament is more important, as they are flying past The International 2023, but can fully focus on DreamLeague. Will it add to their game plan and allow them to win outright? I don't think so. But they will take the map.

Bottom line: +1.5 on OG.