Maç Tahmini: OG - RNG | Dota 2

We have reached the last day of the group stage at The International 2022. The final confrontations are always of interest to the viewer, and this year, given everything that happens, they are a real pleasure for DotA fans.

We continue to watch important matches in Group A. Of course, one of these will be the confrontation between RNG and OG.

Both clubs are declared as contenders for high places. Both clubs show their viability in the group stage and have ambitions for the playoffs.

We are trying to figure out if there is a team worthy of a clear victory in this confrontation.

Form OG

OG will be the favorite in this match. The team's chance of winning is estimated by a coefficient around 3.3.

As we can see, there will be many equal matches at the end of the group stage. RNG and OG are one of those.

The fact that OG is given a 3.3 odds to win is very tempting. Although the teams are nominally equal, RNG has a huge problem that will drag them to the bottom, but more on that later, but for now let's talk about OG.

It will not be possible to tell any special revelations, because we have already watched the team for these 4 days and did not see any cardinal innovations in such a short period.

OG results at The International 2022

• 2-0 victory over Gladiators
• Lost to Evil Geniuses 0-2
• Lost to PSG.LGD 0-2
• 2-0 victory over Soniqs
• Draw with Hokori 1-1

While the forecast is being made, OG are playing against Liquid. An enchanting map to match the main championship of the year with a three-hour pause ended in favor of OG, which brings them closer to the upper bracket of the group stage.

Roster OG

• Yuragi
• bzm
• ATF
• Taiga
• Misha

It is not entirely clear what condition the players are in, because almost all matches played by them end in approximately the same scenario: it is either a lightning-fast victory or the same quick defeat.

The only exception was in the match against Hokori, where OG failed to outplay their Peruvian counterparts dry.

Heroes OG Esports

In patch 7.32, OG's approach to drafting hasn't changed much from the previous meta. They still play 3 cores giving ATF a lot of farm.

The most popular picks are Mars (7 games, 85% wins), Dark Willow (6 games, 85% wins), Earthshaker (5 matches, 80% wins), QoP (4 matches, 100% wins).

Royal Never Give Up Form

Royal Never Give Up will appear in the camp of catching up in this match. The chance of their victory is estimated by bookmakers with a coefficient of around 3.6.

Parity ratios. But in fact what?

We return to the beginning of the review, where I talked about the huge problem of RNG. I did not exaggerate, because on the third game day of the RNG group stage, Covid fell ill.

First, the headliner of the “kings”, Somnus`M, fell ill with an infection, and later the rest of the team got infected. You might think that in the two-plus years of the pandemic, getting sick with Covid has become easier, and perhaps it is, but clearly not the case with RNG.

This gave a special effect on the third game day of RNG. The team looked disgusting.

Royal Never Give Up Latest Results

• 2-0 victory over BOOM
• 2-0 victory over Soniqs
• 2-0 victory over Gaimin Gladiators
• Lost to PSG.LGD 0-2
• Lost to Hokori 0-2

After an impressive streak of clear wins and only 1 lost map, RNGs “floated” due to external circumstances. The ability of the team to recover from illness before the start of the match is very vague.

Royal Never Give Up line-up

• Ghost
• Somnus
• Chalice
• kaka
• xNova

The question of the well-being of not only Somnus, but also other performers is open. We'll get an answer to it soon.

Heroes Royal Never Give Up

RNG play for their mid player. The most popular characters for them in patch 7.32 were Puck (3 matches, 100% win rate), Queen of Pain (3 matches, 100% win rate).

Also picked Chen (3 matches, 66% win rate), Tiny (3 matches, 66% win rate).

The International is played “wide”: pick Naga Siren or Anti-Mage to position 1, take Drow Ranger and Lone Druid. In general, they play with all the most popular and effective, which is bearing fruit.

History of personal confrontations

Previously, the teams played each other at PGL Arlington Major 2022. Then OG, who played with a substitute, won.

Match outcome

I don't believe in quick recovery and I think the disease factor will affect both the RNG's mechanical abilities and their morale. OG should take advantage of the chances and guarantee themselves the upper bracket.

Result: OG win.