Maç Tahmini: LGD Gaming - Aster.Aries | Dota 2

In the China region, the first week of DPC 2023: China Upper Division is coming to an end. The last day will bring with it as many as 3 confrontations, instead of the usual two, as it was in the past days.

After the opening match of the day where IG will meet DAWN, we are moving to a more upbeat event. PSG.LGD will play against Aster.Aries.

The sign of the match is not the loudest, but the meeting will certainly provide interest. At least, because they play PSG.LGD in the updated roster.

Let's try to figure out if the contenders from Aster.Aries will be able to impose a fight on PSG.LGD. After the debut matches of the teams, there is a feeling that bo3 can be exhausting.

Form PSG.LGD

We start the review of the match by looking at the PSG.LGD kit. In this match, the team will be in the form of a favorite.

Bookmakers believe in the triumph of PSG.LGD and estimate their chance of winning with odds around 1.3. As expected, PSG.LGD is in favor, which is not surprising.

Let's start with the fact that PSG.LGD is still a formidable and serious opponent, even taking into account the changes in the roster during the transfer period. The second is the opponent of PSG.LGD. With all due respect, Aster.Aries is far from being an equal team to PSG.LGD.

PSG.LGD roster

In case you forgot, PSG.LGD changed their roster significantly during the transfer window. Only two players and a coach remained in positions.

• shiro
• NothingToSay
• 项羽
• planet
• y`

Of the legendary Chinese line-up, only NothingToSay and y` remained in the ranks. Now they have to guide former EHOME members shiro and planet, as well as former CDEC member 项羽, to victory.

The problem of the new roster is not so much in the players themselves, but in their predecessors. Comparing Ame with shiro or xinQ with planet will not work with all the desire - these are different values.

However, in the first game, getting to the bottom of the new generation of PSG.LGD will not work, even with a special desire. The team took out their counterparts from DAWN without a single chance, and the newcomers to the roster looked quite harmonious.

Performance of PSG.LGD

Being a title team last season, PSG.LGD showed similar results. After 3rd place at the Intel World Open Beijing, PSG.LGD started playing as expected.

The team easily won the DPC CN 2021/2022 Tour 1: Division 1 and just as easily closed the regional finals of the first round, which are a kind of analogue of the first major of the season.

This was followed by an incomprehensible TOP-6 at OGA Dota PIT Season 6: China, and then another victory in the regional DPC league. And again with the subsequent championship at the regional finals.

In the third round, PSG.LGD took 4th place, which was the worst result in the regional DPC league since the beginning of 2021. The oversight was covered at RIyadh Masters 2022, where PSG.LGD defeated Spirit 2-0 in the final.

PSG.LGD failed to repeat the success of Riyadh Masters - Spirit responded, but already in a major in Arlington. PGL Arlington Major 2022 ended for PSG.LGD in 2nd place.

Having entered The International 2022 directly, PSG.LGD acted as one of the main contenders for victory, but in the end they were not even the first team in China. The wards of xiao8 finished the tournament in the TOP-6, after which major changes began in the roster.

As part of the first match of DPC 2023, the team played against DAWN. LGD beat their opponents without a single chance, giving them 7 kills in two maps.

Heroes PSG.LGD

PSG.LGD valued Primal Beast (6 games, 66% win rate), Tiny (6 matches, 50% win rate), Leshrac (6 matches, 50% win rate), Enigma (5 matches, 60% win rate).

As part of the DPC, they played Lina, Alchemist, Keeper of the Light, Treant, Ember Spirit. So far successful.

Aster.Aries form

We continue to review the duel with a review of the form of Aster.Aries. The team will appear in the match as an outsider.

The chance to win Aster.Aries is estimated by odds around 3.3. As for a team that last season was looking for any chance to catch on to a place in the top division, it looks good.

Agree, back in 2022, it was virtually impossible to see the number 3.3 near Aster.Aries, and even in the match against PSG.LGD. Now the youth squad of Aster has proved its capacity, and below is more about the composition and performance.

Composition of Aster.Aries

At the end of the transfer window, Aster.Aries carried out a fairly global reshuffle inside the roster and, as a result, got a very combat-ready five.

Aster.Aries players

• Ulu
• White_Album
• ss
• TK
• redpanda

The newcomers are the mid player White_Album and the foursome TK. Both missed the qualifiers for The International, although they have been in the Aries since November 2021.

Based on the first match, we can say that the players have potential. You can open it this season and it is advisable to start right from the match against PSG.LGD.

Aster.Aries Performance

The main achievement of the team is the preservation of the slot in the top division of the DPC. There was an emphasis on this and in the new season the prospects have not changed.

We started the year with a performance at the Intel World Open Beijing, where we took the TOP-8. Further, a qualitative breakthrough in the second division of China and a passage to the elite league.

In the third round, playing in the top division for the first time in the history of the academic team, Aster.Aries managed to cling to the TOP-6, thereby retaining their place for the 2023 season.

There was no more to be expected. The team failed the subsequent qualifications for ESL One Malaysia 2022.

The International 2022: China Qualifier failed in exactly the same way. There, the team lost to IG with a score of 1-2 at the TOP-6 stage, where it stayed.

In the first match of DPC 2023, Aster.Aries faced Xtreme Gaming. Contrary to expectations, Aries managed to impose a fight on Xtreme and looked good, although they lost.

Heroes Aster.Aries

Played in Chinese tradition. Among the most selected characters: Death Prophet (4 matches, 25% wins), Ember Spirit (3 matches, 66% wins), Marci (3 matches, 33% wins).

Chen and Clockwerk have an ideal win rate, but too small a selection. Both have 2 games and 2 wins.

History of personal confrontations

The teams have a common history, but they will play in the new lineups for the first time.

The outcome of the fight

After the first series, I'm not sure about what's going on in this match. It is not clear whether DAWN is so harmless, or PSG.LGD is head and shoulders above the rest.

In any case, Aster.Aries is not DAWN, it feels and plays in the first series, the team is several goals higher than the previous opponent PSG.LGD. I think there is every chance to see a good fight, but PSG.LGD will win.

Bottom line: PSG.LGD win/potentially +1.5 on Aries.