Maç Tahmini: OG - Nigma Galaxy | Dota 2
Riyadh Masters 2022In today's game day, OG and Nigma Galaxy will play against each other. The teams will face each other in a Bo2 duel, which opens up the option for us to bet not only on a win, but also on a draw. Will there be a draw? Or does someone have a serious chance of winning? Let's analyze and find out!
OG game uniform
OG has had only one opportunity to play in this tournament so far. The team played against Royal Never Give Up and the meeting ended in a draw. Considering the game form of Royal Never Give Up, even a draw with this Chinese team can be considered a good performance. Let me remind you that RNG made it to Riyadh Masters 2022 not thanks to a direct invite received from the organizers, but through the Asian division of Gamers Without Borders 2022. OG, in turn, became the owners of the invite and made almost no effort to get an invite.
I also note the fact that the fight against Nigma Galaxy will be the second for Yuragi and his teammates to date, and therefore the team will be played after the match with Team Liquid.
The OG roster was assembled from scratch last November. It's been eight months since then, and OG have long proven that they are a high-level team.
Roster OG
- Yuragi
- bzm
- ATF
- Taiga
- Misha
OG match history
- OG 1-1 Royal Never Give Up
Game uniform Nigma Galaxy
Nigma Galaxy played once in this championship against Team Liquid and the match ended in a draw. Let me remind you that Team Liquid took 2nd place in the Dota Pro Circuit Season 2021/2022 Tour 3 Div 1 league, which makes them one of the strongest European teams. Nigma Galaxy played in the lower division and took first place there quite confidently. Based on this, both teams are in good shape.
At the end of May, Nigma Galaxy updated their roster by signing a contract with Sumail 'SumaiL' Hassan. The latter has already adapted well to the team and Nigma Galaxy showed a real master class of methodical Dota in Dota Pro Circuit Season 2021/2022 Tour 3 Div 1.
Composition of Nigma Galaxy
- Miracle-
- SumaiL
- MinD_ControlRoL
- GH
- KuroKy
Nigma Galaxy match history
- Nigma Galaxy 1-1 Team Liquid
Conclusion
Both teams are in good playing shape. They recently showed great performance in the upper and lower divisions of the Dota Pro Circuit. OG had tougher opponents in the top division and a more hardened team, while Nigma Galaxy played in the lower DPC division against weaker opponents.
In this case, I think that OG and Nigma Galaxy can play on equal terms, as they are in good shape and performed equally in the fight against Royal Never Give Up.
OG has a good chance of winning, but I believe in a draw more. Experts from bookmakers give odds of 2.10 for this outcome, which is the most probable of all three outcomes. I think that in this case you need to bet on a draw.
Final bet: Draw at odds of 2.10
Riyadh Masters (second game day): forecast for an amazing derby between OG and Nigma Galaxy. We saw a revenge for TI10 today, will we see a revenge for TI9? In the updated lineups, OG looks 5 times better, Nigma Galaxy had some problems with TSM FTX on the second map, lost 7k at the peak, but managed to comeback. OG shut down Team Liquid without a chance. Here a draw is the most likely outcome, but I definitely support OG.
Roster OG
- Yuragi
- bzm
- ATF
- Taiga
- Misha
Composition of Nigma Galaxy
- Miracle
- SumaiL
- MinD_ControlRoL
- GH
- KuroKy
Latest OG results
- Winning the match against Team Liquid 2:0 - Riyadh Masters
- Draw 1:1 against Royal Never Give Up - Riyadh Masters
- Lost in a match with Team Liquid 0:2
- Lost in a match with Team Liquid 0:2
- Lost in a match with Alliance 0:2
Latest Nigma Galaxy results
- Win the match with TSM FTX 2:0 - Riyadh Masters
- Draw 1:1 against Team Liquid - Riyadh Masters
- Draw 1:1 against Royal Never Give Up - Riyadh Masters
- Win the match with Into the Breach 2:1
- Win the match with EU Rejects 2:0
The situation of the teams in the group is as follows, Nigma Galaxy is now in 1st place with 1 win and 2 draws; OG has 2 lines with 1 win and 1 draw. OG should try to win, a draw won't suit them.
Nigma Galaxy is satisfied with a draw and provides them with 90% of the playoffs.
Commonly used OG heroes
- bzm: Puck/Keeper of the Light/Void Spirit/Morphling
- Yuragi: Arc Warden/Monkey King/Phantom Lancer/Lifestealer
- ATF: Timbersaw/Slardar/Void Spirit/Chaos Knight
- Taiga: Enigma/Zeus/Windranger/Phoenix
- Misha: Marci/Bane/Jakiro
Frequently used Nigma Galaxy heroes
- Miracle: Monkey King/Pudge/Bristleback/Sven
- SumaiL: Keeper of the Light/Void Spirit/Dawnbreaker
- MinD_ContRoL: Nature`s Prophet/Dark Seer/Slardar
- GH: Tusk/IO/Zeus/Wintern Wyvern/Snapfire
- KuroKy: Tiny/Zeus/Nyx Assassin
There will definitely be a fight for Wintern Wyvern and Zeus, you shouldn't give Mind_ContRoL to his heroes like Dark Seer/Nature`s Prophet, and against OG you should raise Razor, and, most likely, ban him. An amazing game is waiting for us, whether Arc Warden will be in this series is an interesting question.
- More predictions in Telegram: t.me/flzbets
Independent from OG versus LAN-experience from Nigma Galaxy; Team chemistry is excellent for both teams. I wouldn't count much on OG's 2-0 victory over Liquid today as it's a terrible form for Liquid with a sub. On the other hand, Nigma Galaxy, who cameback against TSM FTX in the most important match and won, will clearly unite the team and believe in each other even more.
- OG win - odds 2.838
- Nigma Galaxy win - odds 3.32
- Draw - odds 2.252
There should be a 90% draw here, but I will just blindly believe in OG. Dragon Knight + Phoenix in the first stage against Team Liquid passed, I hope they will also be able to come up with something against Nigma Galaxy, since Nigma plays almost the same.
Prediction: OG will win on one map Nigma Galaxy - odds 1.32; risk win in series - odds 2.838
Bookmakers & Statistics
Şu anda, bahisçilerin çoğu, OG toplam 5.355 galibiyet ortalama oranları ile oyunun favorisi olarak OG takımını oybirliğiyle görüyor. Nigma Galaxy kazanma şansı, bahisçiler tarafından ortalama 6.652 oranlarla değerlendirilir.
Katılımcılar son maçlarda nasıl performans gösterdi?
Son Maçlar | OG | Nigma Galaxy |
5 maç (galibiyet) | 4 | 5 |
10 maç (galibiyet) | 8 | 8 |
Ayrıca takımlar arasındaki maçların istatistiklerini hatırlamakta fayda var. Toplantıdan önce savaşa katılanlar birbirleriyle 20 maç oynadı. Bu savaşlarda OG 15 zafer elde ederken, Nigma Galaxy 5 maç almayı başardı.