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We continue to follow the twists and turns of ESL One Birmingham 2024. The second day of matches is about to start and we should be ready.
We will continue to watch what is happening in Group A, where the situation is not developing as expected before the Long Round of the championship. And that's for the best.
We are watching the match Shopify Rebellion - Team Liquid. Both teams need points, but will anyone manage to earn a clean win here and improve their position in the standings.
Let's go.
Team Liquid form
Let's open the match analysis with Team Liquid's form. In this match they will play as favourites with odds to win at around 2.4.
At DPC 2023: WEU Division 1 Tour 1 Liquid didn't lose a single match, and then took the top 2 at The Lima Major 2023, while playing with substitutes. More than decent.
The second round of the DPC was as similar to the previous round as possible. Liquid again took the Top 1, but now with only one loss in the table. On the international stage, Liquid shone again, but were still overshadowed by Gaimin Gladiators, who took their second Major a Champions Cup of the season.
In their third season, Liquid were no longer able to cement their supremacy. "Liquid" fell to fourth place, but it was good enough to pass at Bali Major 2023, which in the case of the past at The International 2023 Team Liquid does not play any role.
- Liquid line-up: miCKe, Nisha, SabeRLight-, Boxi, Insania.
After the disappointing result at DreamLeague Season 20, where Team Liquid fell out of the first group stage, there was a feeling that Bali Major 2023 would be held for Liquid at the International 2023. However, Liquid decided to switch on and play to the fullest.
And they almost succeeded: they took the top 2, losing in the grand final to Gaimin Glaidators! Again. Third time at a Major tournament in a year.
Riyadh Masters 2023 Team Liquid started at the Play-In stage, as they surprisingly didn't collect enough ESL ranking points. They finished the Play-In with a 3-1-1 score and second place in Basket A, and then played the group stage with a 3-3-1 statistic, advancing to the top set of play-offs.
At the end of the biggest tournament of the year, Team Liquid finished in the top 2, which can't be called a bad result. Unlike the top-10 at DreamLeague Season 21, which was after the Riyadh Masters 2023 and before Longsong The International 2023.
Team Liquid made it to the next round of the group stage pretty confidently from Group B. "Liquid" took the top 1 by taking a 3-1-0 lead in the series.
In the play-offs seeding match, Liquid faced Evil Geniuses. The Peruvians are not happy at this The International 2023, from which they expectedly lost 0-2 against Liquid.
In the first round of play-offs LIquid met Talon Esports. They won on class, taking two maps. What is true, further went not according to plan: a loss from Spirit and then Gaimin Gladiators, already at the bottom of the table. At the end of the main event of the year Team Liquid took the top 6.
The new season began with a performance at Kuala Lumpur 2023, where they reached TOP-2. In 2024 they played everywhere they could. They also went to BB Dacha and made it to the TOP-2 (lost in the final to Falcons), played on DL Season 22. DreamLeague Season 22 was definitely not a priority, as Liquid were so out of shape that they didn't make it out of the group stage.
There was the 1win series tournament, where Ledge or Spirit went 1-2 in the grand finals and Elite League, where they took the top 4.
After the first game day Liquid are in the middle of the standings with a score of 2-2.
Team Liquid's most popular heroes
Team Liquid has Crystal Maiden in the top picks with 7 games and 6 wins.
In addition to Crystal Maiden, Doom (4 matches, 100% wins), Sven (4 matches, 75% wins), Skywrath Mage (4 matches, 75% wins) are the picks.
Rubick (4 matches, 25% wins), Void Spirit (3 matches, 100% wins) appear in spades, Underlord, Pangolier, Storm Spirit have 3 matches each and all have 2 wins.
Shopify Rebellion Form
We continue the match breakdown with an analysis of the American club's match form. In this match, they are playing with odds to win around 6.
On the home stage, Shopify Rebellion have finished in the top 2 twice. In the third round, Arteezy and company finally snatched the championship.
At The Lima Major 2023, Shopify Rebellion made it all the way to the top 4. Getting into the top three was prevented, unexpectedly, by Aurora.
In addition to The Lima Major 2023, the team played at DreamLeague Season 19, and they played even better than the Peruvian major. Cooler because they played with substitutes (the inexperienced Mikey played as a substitute for Abed) and reached the top 3 of the tournament for $1,000,000.
Then there was The Berlin Major 2023 with a dismal top-12, and then the third round of DPC 2023: NA Division 1. The latter went better: SR took the top spot, guaranteeing themselves passage to The Bali Major 2023, and actually made it to The International 2023.
- Shopify Rebellion roster: Arteezy, Yopaj, SabeRLight, Thiolicor, Kitrak.
At DreamLeague Season 20 SR again played with substitutes, but this time they failed to repeat the success of the DL S19 period: Shopify Rebellion failed to pass the first group stage of the DL and, like Liquid, left the championship early.
After the 20th season of DreamLeague Shopify Rebellion played two major events: Bali Major 2023 and Riyadh Masters 2023. Both championships ended miserably: TOP-12 and TOP-16 respectively.
The International is more interesting than Shopify's position at DreamLeague Season 21. Having got into Group A to such serious opponents as Liquid and Aurora. And yet Shopify Rebellion took the first place in their basket, thereby advancing to the top set of play-offs.
In the first play-offs match of DreamLeague Season 21 Shopify Rebellion had to mobilise all the knowledge and all the skill to defeat the Eastern European residents from BB Team. The match ended with the score 2-1 in favour of Shopify, and Arteezy for the first time in a long time gave not a meme highlite, but a game-changing moment.
In the match to advance to the DL S21 SR Ledge and Team Spirit, but later again outplayed BB in the lower grid match. However, it was not possible to take revenge from Spirit in the grand finals: the Dragons easily slammed Shopify Rebellion with a score of 3-0, and Arteezy and company took the top 2.
Shopify Rebellion showed a very questionable performance in the group stage. They barely managed to claw their way into the top 4 in Basket B, finishing it with a score of 2-7.
In the seeding match for the play-offs of The International 2023, Arteezy and company played against one of the main favourites of the tournament, Team Spirit. I don't know why, with a huge advantage on the first map, SR couldn't do anything against the Dragons and rather mediocrely Ledgeyli in the series with a score of 0-2. Next was even more pitiful, as SR lost to their compatriots from TSM and left the main tournament of the year in 13-16th place.
In 2024, Shopify Rebellion won the qualifiers for DL Season 22 and ESL Birmingham 2024, and finished in the top 3 at Dacha.
At DreamLeague Season 22, Shopify Rebellion finished in the top 8, which is a normal result. Later they won the qualifiers for DreamLeague Season 23, finally securing their status as the strongest team in America.
The first day of games Shopify Rebellion played with the score 2-2, finishing it with two draws.
Shopify Rebellion's most popular heroes
Shopify Rebellion is most often played by Crystal Maiden (8 matches, 62% wins), Storm Spirit (7 matches, 57% wins), Doom (7 matches, 57% wins).
There was also Rubick (5 matches, 80% win rate), Terrorblade (4 matches, 75% wins), Underlord (4 matches, 75% wins).
History of head-to-head meetings between Team Liquid and Shopify Rebellion
Over the last year the teams played each other 5 times. Four matches ended in a draw, and once Liquid won.
Predicted result of the match Shopify Rebellion - Team Liquid at ESL One Birmingham 2024
The history of head-to-head encounters hints that a draw awaits us here as well. According to the first game day, I am inclined to this result, but I will bet a victory Liquid. "Liquid" know how to pick up the pace in the course of tournaments and, I think, will earn a victory here.
Bottom line: Liquid wins.
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