Maç Tahmini: TSM - Thunder Awaken | Dota 2

We continue to watch what is happening as part of BTS Pro Series Season 13: Americas. At the first landmark tournament before the start of DPC 2023, the playoffs are taking place.

In the race for the main prize of $16,000, there are 8 teams left, among which there are clubs of the first echelon of the world dota: TSM, Evil Geniuses, Beastcoast and others are testing their new rosters. In this review, we'll take a look at a couple of them.

TSM and Thunder Awaken will open the BTS Pro Series Season 13: Americas upper bracket semi-finals. The format of the duel, as before, is bo3.

Let's figure out which of the teams will be more worthy to go to the finals of the upper bracket and stake out the TOP-3 BTS Pro Series Season 13: Americas, which can hardly be called a sufficient result for both teams.

Form TSM

We will start the analysis of the match with an overview of the TSM form. The American club in this fight will act as a favorite.

The bookmakers predict TSM to win with odds of 1.6. This figure is quite in line with what is happening in the tournament and in relation to the teams.

If we discard everything that happened after The International 2022, then we have a duel between two title clubs, where the advantage should go to Thunder. Naturally, no one will turn a blind eye to all the ups and downs that occurred at the end of TI22, and therefore TSM is ahead in this match.

Composition of TSM

When we talked about TSM in the opening match of the playoffs, the main intrigue was the question of who will play for the top American organization. The answer was not long in coming.

• Timado
• Bryle
• SabeRLight-
• Ari
• MoonMeander

In this championship, new coach MoonMeander plays for TSM, as well as 19-year-old British player Ari, who previously played for Into The Breach. Actually, Whitemon was supposed to play instead of MoonMeander, but, apparently, the Indonesian is still on the road to North America, where the TSM office is located, or just on vacation.

TSM Performance

TSM became the triumphant DPC NA 2021/2022 Tour 1: Regional Final, after which they took 2nd place in the second round.

At the first major of the team, the team took 2nd place. After ESL One Stockholm, TSM was rightfully called a top team, and for some time they coped with this status.

In the third round of DPC NA 2021/2022 Division 1, the team took 4th place, which was the beginning of aggravation in terms of performance. Next, TSM had a TOP-8 at Riyadh Masters 8.

On the eve of The International 2022, where TSM went through by DPC points, the team took TOP-8 at ESL One Malaysia 2022. The main tournament of the year TSM failed to smithereens: the team shared 19th-20th place, having been eliminated at the group stages.

At BTS Pro Series Season 13: Americas debuted from the first round of the upper bracket of the playoffs. In the opening match of the championship, TSM outplayed 5RATFORCESTAFF, justifying their pre-match status: the series against 5RATFORCESTAFF ended with two maps of 34 and 35 minutes respectively.

Heroes TSM

The most favored hero for TSM in patch 7.32 was Shadow Fiend. However, in 8 matches, the character only won 37% of the time. Next comes Undying (5 games, 40% win rate), Dawnbreaker (5 matches, 20% win rate), Marci (4 games, 75% win rate).

Thunder Awaken Form

The second participant in the match for reaching the TOP-3 is Thunder Awaken. In this match, the Peruvian club is in the status of an outsider.

The bookmaker is given to win Thunder Awaken with a coefficient of around 2.25. The figure is quite acceptable and understandable.

As noted above, if we were at the time of The International 2022, the situation with the distribution of forces would be significantly different. Now, after a cardinal reshuffle, Thunder Awaken are far from the level of their "ancestors" in the Peruvian club.

Thunder Awaken line-up

I catch myself thinking that in relation to Thunder Awaken I have some kind of underestimation. However, now it is really difficult to assess how capable this roster is due to the fact that BTS Pro Series Season 13: Americas is far from the status of an indicative event.

• Smiling Knight
• Alone
• little boy
• Michael-
• Accel

The main reason for the dissonance caused by the composition of Thunder Awaken, I would say the presence of Smiling Knight in it. For teams of the first echelon from South America, the practice of hiring legionnaires for core positions is quite rare. Whatever it was, while the roster is working.

Thunder Awaken performance

Thunder Awaken were the TOP-1 of the region and proved it from tournament to tournament: the team won the DPC SA 2021/2022 Tour 1 three times and visited the tournament outside the DPC ecosystem.

The team won BTS Pro Series Season 10: Americas, got into the TOP-6 of ESL One Stockholm and ESL One Malaysia 2022. But The International 2022 became the main reason for pride.

At the main tournament of the year, Thunder Awaken reached the TOP-6 stage, which was the best result for teams from the South American region.

After The International, as you might guess from the paragraph above, there was a big reshuffle, where the team reassembled the roster. The new roster is being tested as part of the BTS Pro Series Season 13: Americas.

In the group stage, BTS Pro Series Season 13: Americas Thunder Awaken took 3rd place, playing with a score of 3-3-1. The team lost the only time, losing a clean sheet to Infinity, who subsequently advanced from the group in first place.

In the first match of the playoffs, Thunder Awaken became a kind of opening of the round. The team beat Beastcoast with a score of 1-2, which were nominally stronger than their counterparts.

Heroes of Thunder Awaken

The most frequent guest in Thunder Awaken's picks is Crystal Maiden. The character appeared 15 times, while having a win rate of 60%.

In addition to CM, Dawnbreaker (11 games, 81% wins), Zeus (9 matches, 44% wins), Marci (9 matches, 33% wins), Nyx Assassin (8 matches, 62% wins) are honored.

History of personal confrontations

For the updated squads of the clubs, this match will be the debut face-to-face confrontation.

Match outcome

From the duel for the TOP-3, I expect a colorful DotA. It doesn't matter that the status of BTS Pro Series Season 13 allows otherwise.

Both teams are gearing up for the start of the new season, and both teams aren't planning on fooling around during BTS Pro Series Season 13: Americas, which they've proven in previous matches.

As for me, the most stable bet will be bo3. Thunder Awaken will be a much tougher opponent than 5RATFORCESTAFF.

Outcome: total over 2.5.