Welcome to EGamersWorld. We return to DPC 2023: WEU Lower Division Tour II to put together a betting tip for the Alliance - D2 Hustlers match on 16 April at 15:00 CET.
The main focus at the moment is on DreamLeague S19, but some games from the second division are worth a separate mention. For example, Alliance v D2 Hustlers, which we discuss, along with a look at how the teams are doing in the standings, how they are doing in the second division, and whether they have any memorable games there.
We also give you an idea of what to expect in a match that may not be the most obvious, and who will be the stronger of the two.
The shape of Alliance, a top division contender with a great history and big problems
We'll start the tournament by analyzing Alliance's form. Once the top club in Europe, this match is played as a favorite.
The bookmakers confirm the status of Alliance, estimating the odds of their victory at around 1.7. This number is believable, but there are several arguments against this attitude towards Alliance.
The main argument is the squad. Having found themselves in the bottom division of Europe, the Swedish club has changed their squad drastically, rebuilding it completely from scratch.
- Alliance: charlie, ChYuan, s4, ponlo, Handsken
The roster was assembled last December. The roster was headed by eternal s4, whose playing youth faded a long time ago.
Quite an ironic attempt to plug the holes with Southeast Asian legionnaires ChYuan and ponlo. The former once played for Fnatic (before their departure from Dota 2), while the latter represented Aster.Aries, but not for a long time.
The second reason is the effectiveness of Alliance. Remembering the team's performance in the first division, you can't help but expect something similar in the second. So far, though, the Swedes' situation is working.
Before the Long Song match with D2 Hustlers the Alliance had 2 wins and 1 defeat. The only loss they earned in the match against Team Secret, and even then there was a serious struggle on the first map.
In the second division Alliance play very methodically. The team uses working strategies without relying on improvised tactics.
The most popular Alliance heroes
Among the top 3 most popular heroes are Rubick (5 games, 60% wins), Jakiro (5 games, 60% wins), Doom (5 games, 60% wins).
Next are Mirana (4 matches, 50% wins), Pangolier (3 matches, 66% wins), Naga Siren (3 matches, 66% wins).
If you believe in the rise of Alliance and the continuation of the emerging win ѕtreak - choose "win Alliance" for 1.7 with your bet.
Ready to believe in Underpassdog success - check out the D2 Hustlers form below.
D2 Hustlers form - the dark horse of the championship
We continue our look at the D2 Hustlers - Alliance match with a look at the D2 Hustlers game form. In this match, they will have to play number two.
Bookmakers estimate the odds of victory at around 2. The figure is easy to explain, as it is in the case of Alliance.
The fact that D2 Hustlers are number two in this match is understandable, because the team has no experience of playing in big tournaments, and the players here do not grab stars from the sky.
- D2 Hustlers line-up: Yuma, Adzantick, Davai Lama, Thiolicor, Xakoda.
Sufficient experience is not there, but it is there in general. For example, a couple of Thiolicor and Xakoda have played in major events with Hokori and Outsiders. The Brazilian attended The International 2022 where he made a mini furor with Hokori.
The possibility of a sensation is also present in the second round of Western Europe, where D2 Hustlers have every chance of success. Prior to Long Sogpeg's match against Alliance, the team has 3 wins in 3 matches on the books.
In this case, one victory was obtained in the match against Team Secret, and the other against Old G. Winning both season favourites and the title teams at the same time makes the task of reaching the first division much easier, and in case of victory over Alliance, only 2 series remain to be achieved against not the most high-profile opponents.
The most popular D2 Hustlers heroes
A couple of the most picked D2 Hustlers heroes are Timbersaw and Rubick (4 games each, 75% wins).
Next are Disruptor and Ember Spirit with 3 games and 2 wins each.
Also played with Bounty Hunter, Clockwerk, Mirana, Outworld Destroyer who have 2 wins in 2 games each.
The D2 Hustlers have some very peculiar strategies in spades, but the team doesn't chop from the shoulder, playing methodically. In this they have similarities with Alliance.
Believe in the undisputed season leader - bet on D2 Hustlers to win at odds in the region of 2. If you don't think 3-0 in the standings after the Old G and Team Secret games is enough to give it your preference, check out our opinion on the result below.
Alliance - D2 Hustlers predicted to win
We see the safest betting option in this match as a +1.5 over D2 Hustlers. Considering their performance and level of play in recent matches, we're sure they can take the map away from Alliance, or even win the game.
We don't bet on a win, because the second division is a pretty dangerous place. You never know when the top 2 of The International will lose to Yuma and Adzantick.
Bottom line: +1.5 on the D2 Hustlers.
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