Maç Tahmini: Polaris Esports - NaVi | Dota 2

We are still in the Last Chance Qualfiier. The first day of matches for the right to enter the group stage of The International 2022.

Now we are talking about group A, where 6 teams are fighting for the very opportunity to try their luck in the race for Aegis.

Adding specifics, we get a match between NAVI and Polaris. This fight will be the second of the day and the second in a row for NAVI.

The match is completely non-obvious, so there will be something to watch. This is what we will do, along the way, figuring out which of the teams is worthy of winning and earning important points.

Form NAVI

NAVI are in the status of a favorite with a minimum gap. The chance of success for a team from Eastern Europe is estimated by a coefficient of around 2.9.

When parsing LCQ, it is important to understand that the fights take place in the bo2 format, and therefore such numbers are quite logical here. Favorite is a rather vague concept, especially in a match like ours, a draw is seen as a much more likely outcome.

NAVI will approach the fight with a minimal advantage due to the region where they play and the presence of performances in the international arena. In terms of the game itself, I would not distinguish them from Polaris.

The season for "Born to Win" turned out to be quite difficult. The team started it from the TOP-6 at DPC EEU 2021/2022 Tour 2: Division 1 Playoffs, after which it finished on the 2nd line of DPC EEU 2021/2022 Tour 3: Division 1.

Thanks to the 2nd place in the 2nd round, the team made it to PGL Arlington Major 2022, where they ended their processions rather ingloriously. At the American Major, the “yellow-blacks” failed to advance beyond the group stages, dropping out on the 13th-14th line.

However, the “vague” season did not prevent NAVI from entering the qualifiers for The International 2022 as one of the main contenders for victory. One of the main ones in the case of “Born to Win” is not a good characteristic.

At The International 2022: Eastern Europe Qualfier NAVI took 3rd place, making it to the LCQ.

NAVI roster

• V tune
• No[o]ne
• laise
• sweden strong
• Solo

The composition of the NAVI sample 2022 shows an alloy of experience and youth. The duo on the hard lane, and more specifically laise and swedenstrong, acted as the engine of NAVI in the first half of the year, but now there is a drawdown. To whom such a term is unlikely to be applied, it is to No[o]ne.

The Ukrainian mid laner is still a strong solo laner and even despite mistakes in 1v1 matches, he puts out a good game. Solo and V-Tune, in my understanding, play stably, to the best of their ability, and this is rather a minus.

Heroes of NAVI

Most picked heroes for NAVI in patch 7.32: Primal Beast (4 matches, 50% wins), Batrider (3 matches, 33% wins), Undying (3 matches, 33% wins), Snapfire (3 matches, 0 wins).

Polaris Esports Uniform

In the status of an underdog with a minimum gap in this match, Polaris Esports will play. The chance of their victory is estimated by the coefficient within 3.9.

Such a figure in bo2 - consider that equality. In fact, we should get it.

In general, the history of Polaris this season is quite poetic. Few people were waiting for the team in LCQ, but here they are.

Strong Filipinos have always been a thunderstorm in local tournaments, and rarely shot in the leagues. During the season, the team was selected from the top division to the first, where it then took 4th place and in the third round flew back to the second league.

The funny thing is that relegation to the second division did not prevent Polaris from reaching the final of the LCQ qualifiers, where they almost left behind Talon, losing the competitive fight with a score of 2-3.

Polaris Esports Roster

• Natsumi
• Lelouch-
• force
• xavius
• eyyou

I would not like to single out anyone specific from this composition. Polaris look good as a whole. That, as for me, helped them to get into the LCQ.

Heroes Polaris Esports

Most used Polaris Esports characters: Marci (8 matches, 75% wins), Undying (7 matches, 71% wins), Primal Beast (7 matches, 57% wins), Lina (5 matches, 100% wins), Pangolier (5 matches, 100% wins).

History of personal confrontations

Previously, the teams did not play each other in official matches. This fight will be their first face-to-face confrontation.

Outcome

In this match, I do not see for myself a winner who can close the meeting 2-0. Yes, NAVI are more weighty: they played in the top league, where their rivals were Team Spirit, for example.

NAVI also played in the Major, but it hardly makes sense to recall that experience. There were a couple of shots, like a Secret victory, but that's it.

Polaris, on the other hand, swam all season, and in the third round they completely flew to the second division. But at the qualifiers for The International, they showed themselves very well, which will definitely give them a boost.

The fight in this game will be in drafts, with which NAVI seems to be doing just fine. The problems for the “yellow-blacks” start from the mid-game stage, where Natus Vincere cannot find themselves and are lost on the map even with an advantage.

As for me, Polaris will catch NAVI on one of the maps.

Bottom line: +0.5 handicap on Polaris.