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We continue our ESL One Berlin Major 2023 play-offs review with a betting tee on Shopify Rebellion vs Evil Geniuses in the third match of the first round of the lower net. An American Dot confrontation is just what you need at this stage of the game.
The match promises to be a fast-paced affair, with both teams loving the fast-paced action of Dota and probably knowing each other well due to the proximity of the regions. In addition, the match is a matter of principle.
Arteezy and company will once again decide whether EG was right to give up their big-name roster. To answer this question, we analyzed the teams' games in the group stage of the tournament and in the play-offs of ESL One Berlin Major 2023.
Let's begin.
Shopify Rebellion form
Let's start our analysis of the Shopify Rebellion vs Evil Geniuses match by analyzing Shopify Rebellion's game form. In this match, they will play in the status of favourites, as indicated by the bookmakers.
The chance of Shopify Rebellion winning this match is estimated at odds around 1.7. Such a figure is due to the team's performance in the course of the playing season, which for Shopify Rebellion was quite bright.
The team has twice finished in the top 2 of the DPC domestic league, Ledge and TSM. Naturally, such a result can hardly be called an achievement, as competition in the North American region is rather scarce. However, in the case of Shopify Rebellion, it's much more decided by playing on the international stage, where the results are much better.
At The Lima Major 2023, Shopify Rebellion made it to the top 4. Making it into the top three was prevented, unexpectedly, by Talon Esports.
In addition to the Lima Major 2023, the team was at the DreamLeague Season 19 and played even better than the Peruvian major. Cooler, because they played with substitutions (in the case of Abed performed inexperienced Mikey) and reached the top 3 of the tournament for $ 1,000,000.
- Shopify Rebellion line-up: Arteezy, Abed, SaberLight, Cr1t, Fly .
Shopify Rebellion made it to Berlin in its entirety. Abed was in place and showed in the group stage that rest did not affect his playing parameters.
Shopify Rebellion advanced to the top of the play-offs grid with a 3-4-1 scoreline. In the first round of the main stage, Shopify Rebellion's opponent was 9 Pandas and it looked like the American club was waiting for a straight ticket to the next round, however Arteezy got involved with his legendary (no) build on Medusa. Shopify Rebellion thus made it to the bottom of the play-offs grid.
Shopify Rebellion's most popular heroes
At ESL One Berlin Major 2023, Shopify Rebellion was most often played by Crystal Maiden (8 matches, 62% wins), Storm Spirit (7 matches, 57% wins), Doom (7 matches, 57% wins).
Also had Rubick (5 matches, 80% win rate), Terrorblade (4 matches, 75% wins), Underlord (4 matches, 75% wins).
Ready to put your faith in Arteezy and company in the match against the former club - pick Shopify Rebellion as the series winner at odds in the region of 1.7.
We will talk about the Evil Geniuses' form and try to figure out why they can beat their opponent.
Evil Geniuses form
We continue our look at the Shopify Rebellion vs Evil Geniuses with a round-up of the Evil Geniuses form. In this match Evil Geniuses will play in the status of the outsider, as indicated by the bookmakers' quotes.
The odds are around 2 for Evil Geniuses to win. The gap is minimal, which makes sense.
Evil Geniuses has a very similar story to Shopify Rebellion. "Evil Geniuses", like their future rival, cannot pull off a regional league lead: they have twice finished top in South America and have made their mark on the international stage.
The minimal gap in the standings, however, is just the result of their performance on this international stage. The Evil Geniuses made it to the Top 6 at The Lima Major 2023 (knocked out by Shopify Rebellion).
Apart from The Lima Major 2023, Evil Geniuses played in DreamLeague Season 19. They fared worse than their future counterparts but managed to qualify to the second stage where they dominated the TOP-7.
- Evil Geniuses squad: Pakazs, Chris Luck, Wisper, Matthew, Pandaboo.
Evil Geniuses, unlike Shopify Rebellion, have not resorted to any stand-ins this season and have sort of had no trouble with the roster. However, The Berlin Major 2023 has been "so-so" for EG.
The team won Group A for 6th place. They had to play tie-breaks against Team Aster and BB Team to get into the play-offs. They played 1-1 and now here they are in a match for life against Arteezy.
Evil Geniuses' most popular heroes
The top most popular Evil Geniuses heroes were Beastmaster and Death Prophet. Both heroes were taken 8 times each and had a 75% win rate.
After DP and Primal Beast, Leshrac was the most often played at the third position. He appeared 6 times and had a 66% win rate.
In addition, Marci (5 matches, 60% wins), Templar Assassin (4 matches, 100% wins), Jakiro (4 matches, 100% win).
If you're ready to put your faith in Pakazs and company in a match against Shopify Rebellion - bet on Evil Geniuses to win at odds around 2.
We will take a look at the history of the Evil Geniuses - Shopify Rebellion head-to-head encounters
Shopify Rebellion - Evil Geniuses head-to-head match history
EG and Shopify Rebellion have played each other three times. Twice Shopify Rebellion won and 1 time the match ended in a draw.
Predicted result of the Shopify Rebellion vs Evil Geniuses match
After what I saw yesterday, I'm not sure about Shopify Rebellion's competence. The team in their only play-offs match played in such a way that it's hard to believe they can win in the bottom set of the tournament.
Bottom line: victory for Evil Geniuses.
