Forecast Lilgun - Execration
We continue to analyze the group stage of BTS Pro Series Season 12: Southeast Asia. Today opens the fourth game day, along with the Execration match against Lilgun. Previously, the teams met 14 times, according to the results of Execration, they earned 9 wins, Lilgun, in turn, 4, and one match ended in a draw. Today they will again have to determine the strongest in the bo2 format.
Execration Form
The first rivals of the team were Neon Esports, and according to the results of the match, the participants parted in a draw. The first map lasted 48 minutes and was won by Neon, while the second map went much faster and Execration won in 27 minutes. The team played the second match against the favorites of the Army Geniuses group, and the latter fully justified their title. The first map went like an equal fight and ended in 37 minutes with the victory of the “Geniuses”, the second map was completely one-sided, and after 27 minutes the Army Geniuses players won.
Composition Execration
Changes in the game roster began from mid-January 2022. BDz leaves the team and moves to TNC Predator, the organization also said goodbye to Nando and Kimizu. A month later, Palos, who previously played for the team, and then moved to Neon Esports, returns. Further, the team signs a former member of BOOM Esports - Tino, and Shanks, who previously played, for Omega Esports.
Execration last matches result
- Victory over KOBOLDS - 2:0
- Victory over Summit Gaming - 2:0
- Defeat from Army Geniuses - 0:2
- Draw with Neon Esports - 1:1
- Draw with XERXIA - 1:1
Heroes Execration
Shanks plays most often on Mirana (35 matches, 68% win rate), Hoodwink (20 matches, 65% win rate). Bob often chooses Ember Spirit (98 matches, 47% wins), Puck (88 matches, 56% wins). Tino prefers to farm Gyrocopter (43 matches, 62% win rate), Monkey King (43 matches, 55% win rate). Palos plays on Morphling (118 matches, 65% win rate), Faceless Void (78 matches, 63% win rate). RR performs best on Grimstroke (122 matches, 45% win rate), Nyx Assassin (105 matches, 53% win rate).
Lilgun form
The team played its first match in the tournament against the favorites from BOOM Esports, and the result is quite expected, a defeat on two quick maps of 26 and 33 minutes. In the second match, they met with the previously strong team TNC Predator and the match ended in a draw. The first map was a tight fight and after 59 minutes Lilgun earned the win. The second map was completely controlled by TNC, who finished it in 27 minutes. In the third match, they were expected by opponents from Neon Esports, and the meeting again ended in a draw. The first Lilgun map was closed in 33 minutes, the second was won by Neon players in 27 minutes.
Composition of Lilgun
- 423
- sanctity-
- eleven
- knishka
- Ace12
The main game roster has not changed since the beginning of 2022. At the beginning of June, MaRveL, acting as a stand-in, moved to KOBOLDS. Separately, I would like to note that almost all members of the team have not previously performed on the professional stage, and Lilgun became their debut club.
Lilgun last matches result
- Victory over KOBOLDS - 3:1
- Defeat from Army Geniuses - 1:2
- Lost to BOOM Esports - 0:2
- Draw with TNC Predator - 1:1
- Draw with Neon Esports - 1:1
Heroes Lilgun
The team has a great pool of meta heroes. Sanctity - performs well on Templar Assassin (120 matches, 67% win rate) and Tiny (95 matches, 57% win rate). Eleven often plays Mars (76 matches, 55% win rate), and Sand King (60 matches, 65% win rate). Knishka prefers Rubick (78 matches, 57% win rate), Nyx Assassin (66 matches, 54% win rate). 432 is preferred more often than others by Lycan (72 matches, 67% of wins), Broodmother (51 matches, 70% of wins). Ace12 plays on Grimstroke (156 matches, 53% win rate) and Bane (104 matches, 63% win rate).
Match prediction
It is difficult to determine the winner, on the one hand, it seems that Lilgun are the favorites, since the team is now in 4th place in the group rating, the team has two draws and one defeat behind them. In turn, Execration is in 7th place, with one draw and one defeat, but the difference is only in the number of matches played, none of the teams earned a victory, despite the fact that their opponents were not the strongest. I would venture to guess that Lilgun will take one card.
Result: Handicap +1.5 on Lilgun
