We are once again following the events at Worlds 2022. All attention is focused on what is happening within the Play-In stage, where the teams fight for their place in the group stage with the best of the best.
The list of “piercing” includes Evil Geniuses and LOUD. It is this match that we will now discuss.
The confrontation between the two is close in geography and rather distant in terms of gaming aspects of the clubs. The derby of the neighboring regions is in danger of being beaten or a one-sided game.
Of course, there is room for maneuver, but in this confrontation I would not have false hopes. The loss of the favorite here is akin to a miracle, not otherwise.
E.G form
Evil Geniuses will play as a clear favorite in this match. The chance of Evil Geniuses winning in the match against LOUD bookmaker is estimated at odds around 1.2.
Here the bookmakers are clear. EG are the leaders with a huge backlog, which is quite logical.
The team had a decent season after not the most presentable attempts in the past. 2022 has become a new round of development for the team, and it is not profitable for anyone from EG to stop there.
The team won the LCS Spring 2022 this year, finished 2nd at the LCS Lock-In 2022 and 3rd at the LCS Summer 2022. A close 2-3 loss in the LCS semi-finals to 100Thieves left EG out of the group stage.
However, after such a season, it is hard to believe that the Play-In stage will become an insurmountable obstacle for EG. A team that reaches MSI TOP 4 must cope with the intermediate stage and play in the group stage.
Lineup EG
- Impact
- inspired
- Jojopyun
- Kaori
- Vulcan
Out of EG's five, I would single out Kaori as a newly arrived Turkish legionnaire leading the team to victory. In theory, the Turks can break under pressure in such a tournament, but for this there are technical staff of the club, and experienced teammates like Impact and Vulcan.
Heroes EG
For headlining EG Impact, Sejuani (4 matches, 100% win rate), Gwen (4 matches, 75% win rate), Gangplank (4 matches, 100% win rate) top lane. Also among the favorites are Gnar with 3 appearances and 2 wins.
In the forest, EG practice the ubiquitous Wukong (5 matches, 80% win rate), Viego (4 matches, 100% win rate) and Poppy (4 matches, 75% win rate).
In the mid lane, jojopyun most often plays for Ahri (4 matches, 75% wins), Corki (3 matches, 2 wins), Sylas (3 matches, 2 wins.
In adk bot, he is not the most meta in other regions of Ezrael, but nevertheless, in 5 matches he has an 80% win rate. Zeri is right there with 3 appearances and a 100% win rate.
Form LOUD
LOUD will play in the status of catching up in this match. The Brazilians' chance of success is estimated at a factor of around 4.
A fairly logical figure, but I would give more. I absolutely see no chance for LOUD.
If you dream up, you can sketch out a scenario for the victory of LOUD over EG. It looks something like this: a tough first fight against Beyond, winning by overpowering and a huge morale boost after the first game.
Next, we move on to DetonatioN FocusMe, who are also moved by LOUD under the debut buff and then, on courage, overcome EG, who, in turn, lost the opening match against Fnatic. The last point is quite real, but the rest are very unlikely. The level of teams is too different, but in any case, this is a prematch, so even the wildest fantasies can come true here, especially considering the Bo1 format.
Composition LOUD
- Robo
- Croc
- TinOwns
- Brance
- Ceos
We have already talked about the LOUD roster more than once, so I see no reason to pay special attention to it. It is necessary to look only at the moral condition of the Brazilians after the first two matches.
Heroes LOUD
Most often, Gnar appeared on the top lane of LOUD. In 5 matches, he has a 100% win rate.
From the junglers, the stable choice of the patch, Wukong. He has 5 wins in 6 games.
In the mid lane, there is also a rather meta and, perhaps, trivial hero - Ahri. From 6 matches she has a 66% win rate.
In the bot line, LOUD has an “American” choice. The most popular Adk for Brazilians is Ezreal. In 5 matches, he has a 40% win rate.
On support, the team chooses Renata Glasc. She has 3 wins from 5 matches.
History of personal confrontations
Previously, the teams did not play official matches with each other. This fight will be the debut face-to-face meeting of the teams.
Match outcome
It seems to me that I quite clearly painted my opinion about the outcome of the confrontation in the review above. I won’t delve further, because I don’t see much point, however, you can’t do without points of interest.
I'll see how the pico-ban phase goes, and whether the teams will cling to Ezrael. As for me, this should be done first of all LOUD, since in the status of an underdog it is important to cling to signatures. I think EG can show a bit of “pathos” by playing with an opponent according to their rules, but I would refuse such a thing, even in the Play-In, which the “evil geniuses” will pass anyway.
Bottom line: EG wins.
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