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There's never much of a big-calibre League of Legends. Especially in China, where the LPL 2023 Summer Split is taking place.
As before, 17 teams are taking part in the tournament. They are fighting for a prize pool of around $600,000, but more importantly for two tickets to the South Korean Worlds 2023.
There are 6 weeks of regular matches in the group stage. One of the day 4 matches is the stunting match between Rare Atom and Team WE.
Both teams dream of making it into the top 10, but getting there is no easy task. And it's worth noting, both teams are left with a chance to get into the play-offs. To do so they need to score points in every match, and we'll start with this encounter.
Let's try to figure out which team will be stronger in a head-to-head encounter, how this game will end, and who will improve their standings at the end of it.
Let's go.
Team WE form
We start the analysis of the match with analysis of Team WE's form. In this match the team will play as favorites.
Bookmakers see Team WE as the leader. The odds on their victory in this match are estimated around 1.4.
It's not really clear why they're so favoured in this match. The teams seem to be virtually identical in essence.
Last season Team WE frankly failed. The team finished 15th in LPL Spring 2022 and 17th in LPL Summer 2022. However, they were able to improve their performance in LPL Spring 2023.
Reaching the play-offs of LPL Spring 2023 is already an indicator. Then to qualify for the main stage Team WE won 8 of the 16 matches played. However, they didn't manage to advance any further than Top-10.
- Team WE's line-up: Cube, Heng, Shanks, Hope, lwandy .
At the time of writing, Team WE are playing their 11th match against Weibo. Things are going pretty shaky there and it looks like WE are aiming for a 5-6 stat, but so far they are 5-5.
Team WE's most popular champions
At the top line, Team WE have no revelations. The collective picks are KSante (4 games, 50% wins), Renekton (3 games, 33% wins), Gnar (3 games, 66% wins).
In the woods everything is also more or less standard: VI (7 games, 57% wins), Maokai (3 games, 66% wins), Poppy and Sejuani 2 games and 0 wins each.
On the centre line, there are no deviations. Azir (4 games, 50% wins), Ryze (4 games, 50% wins), Syndra (2 games, 50% wins), Cassiopeia (2 games, 50% wins).
Championship among shooters for Lucian. Champion appeared 5 times, but won only 2 matches. Tried Zeri, failed: 0-3 in three appearances.
Among the supporting champions Nami was a success. She was taken 5 times, and her win rate was 40%. Yummi (3 games, 0% wins) and Ashe (3 games, 66% wins) also had picks.
Rare Atom Form
We continue with our analysis of Rare Atom's form. In this match, they are destined for number two.
The bookmakers mark Rare Atom as the underdog, with a rough underdog. In this match, the odds on RA to win are 3.
That's not critical for the Chinese region, but the gap is still serious. And all, again, because of the erratic play and overall form of the team.
The record includes a single mark in the top 4 at the LPL Regional Finals 2021. The rest are places around the top-10.
The most recent result is top-12 at LPL Spring 2023. The team was 3 wins short of qualifying for the play-offs.
- Rare Atom's line-up: Cube, Leyan, Strive, Assum, Southwind.
Rare Atom did not get far from their future opponents. The team is outside the top 10, on line 12 with a score of 4-8. The situation is extremely miserable, we need to pick up points to try to climb into the top 10.
Rare Atom's most popular champions
At the top line of Rare Atom most often picked Renekton (5 matches, 40% wins). Also picking KSante (4 matches, 50% wins), Gwen (2 matches, 50% wins), Jax (2 matches, 50% wins).
Of the Foresters, Vi (6 games, 83% wins), Wukong (3 games, 66% wins) are the most popular.
The centre line has variety. Sylas (3 games, 66% wins), Ahri (3 games, 66% wins), Syndra (2 games, 50% wins), Ryze (2 games, 100% wins).
Varus (8 matches, 75% win rate) is a clear dominance on the bot. Also selected were Zeri (3 matches, 33% wins), Sivir (2 matches, 50% wins).
Karma (4 matches, 75% wins), Lulu (3 matches, 33% wins), Leona (2 matches, 50% wins), Heimerdinger (2 matches, 50% wins).
History of head-to-head encounters
The teams previously played LPL Spring 2023. WE barely beat Rare Atom then, outscoring the opposition 2-1.
Match outcome
In this match I expect a more or less equal fight between the two sides. If you ask me, the most logical bet would be to take a +1.5 on Rare Atom. WE is nominally better, but I don't think they'll win easily against a much lesser opponent.
Bottom line: +1.5 on Rare Atom.
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