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We continue to follow the events of LEC Spring 2025 as the premium tournament of the European region gets ready to start its second week.
Vitality and Rogue will open the new stage of LEC Spring 2025. The format of the meeting, as before, is bo3.
We will figure out how the debut match of the second week of LEC Spring 2025 will end and which of the Rogue – Vitality pair will take the victory.
Let's go.
Vitality Form
We open the analysis of the match Vitality - Rogue with an analysis of the game form of Vitality. In this match they will play as favorites with a coefficient of victory in the region of 1.5.
They started their performance last season by participating in LEC Winter 2023. In the regular season, Vitality walked over their opponents: they played it with a score of 7-2, and then went to play the group stage, where they were much less lucky. So much so that Vitality failed to get out of their basket, losing to SK Gaming and KOI. As a result - TOP-5.
Next came the performance at LEC Spring 2024. This was Vitality's best split, where they managed to reach the TOP-3. However, this was enough for absolutely nothing: just the TOP-3.
Vitality's last tournament of the last season was LEC Summer 2023. And it was an absolute fiasco: Vitality showed their worst performance of the year, playing the regular season with a score of 1-8 and finishing in the top-10 at the end of the split.
- Vitality Ingredients: Naak Nako, Lyncas, Czajek, Carzyy, Hylissang.
The team has a pretty strong roster, but execution is Vitality's kryptonite.
In the first match of LEC Winter 2024, Team Vitality will play against GIANTX, where I see problems for the “bees”. It seems to me that the vigorous core of EXCEL will give Vitality a hard time. And so it happened. And later there were two more losses, this time against Fnatic and Team BDS.
Vitality were actually a pleasant surprise. After a 0-3 start, the “bees” managed to come back to 4-5, thus advancing to the next stage of the tournament.
In the first round of the LEC Winter 2024 playoffs, Vitality played against SK Gaming. Surprisingly, the French were very convincing and closed the series with a score of 2-0. However, things were not so rosy further, because Vitality played a derby against BDS, which ended with a super confident victory for the latter. The next match was the last for Vitality in LEC Winter 2024. They played it against MAD Lions KOI and lost with a score of 0-2.
Following the results of LEC Winter 2024, Vitality took the TOP-6. In the spring split, Vitality showed themselves much better and reached the TOP-4. In the summer of 2024, Vitality clearly failed, taking the TOP-9 and thus failing to catch on to Worlds 2024.
At LEC Winter 2025, Vitality failed to exceed their expectations, although they showed a very reasonable result. The team took the TOP-5, which can be called a success.
The first week of LEC Spring 2025 was a clean win over GiantX.
Most Popular Vitality Champions
The most frequent guest on the top lane is Jax (2 matches, 100% win rate). Also chosen were KSante, Gnar, Gwen and Ornn, Renekton and Gragas. Ornn and Renekton, who does not quite fit the meta of Season 13, lost their matches.
Bo played mostly Vi. One of the most meta heroes of the season, he was picked 4 times and won all his games. There were also Sejuani and Maokai (2 games and 1 win each).
Azir became the favorite hero on the mid lane (3 matches, 100% wins). The Croatian also played Ryze, Syndra, Cassiopeia, Tristana, LeBlanc and Taliyah. Only Tristana and LeBlanc lost.
The most frequently picked shooters were Zeri (3 games, 66% win rate), Ezreal (2 games, 100% win rate), Varus (2 games, 100% win rate). Caitlyn and Sivir were picked once each: the first won her game, and the second lost.
Of the support characters, they played Yummi three times (3 games, 33% win rate), Ashe (2 matches, 100% win rate). Leona, Braum, Nami and Lux won once each.
Rogue Form
We continue our analysis of the Rogue vs. Vitality match with an analysis of Rogue's game form. In this match, they are playing as underdogs with a win odds of around 2.3.
Rogue skipped the entire 2023 and only returned to the competitive League of Legends scene ahead of 2024. This is, in principle, a very logical decision, because in 2022 Rogue showed high results, but then something went wrong.
They first showed their mettle at LEC Spring 2022, reaching the Grand Finals of the Spring Split. Then G2 stepped in and prevented Rogue from finishing the season with a triumph.
However, fortune turned out to be favorable already in the next draw of the European league. At LEC Summer 2022, Rogue took the TOP-3 in the group stage, and then played a rather difficult playoff: a victory over MAD Lions with a score of 3-2, a loss to G2 with a score of 0-3, a victory in the small final against Fnatic and finally – an undisputed championship with a victory over G2 (3-0).
Rogue attended Worlds 2022 in October of the season before last. No one had high hopes for them, but Rogue exceeded many expectations by reaching the playoffs. As a result of the tournament, the team took the TOP-8, which is an absolute success for residents of Europe.
- Rogue line-up: Adam, Malrang, Larssen, Patrix, Execute.
In the new season, the core of Koi is playing for Rogue, which is quite logical, since the club absorbed the slot of the Spanish organization.
In the first match, Rogue will face SK Gaming. I expect a victory in the first match for the “new” team in the LEC. Next is the game against Heretics, and it will clearly not be easier than the match with SK: the “heretics” look good, and their roster is probably one of the most combative in the new LEC. As a result, Rogue lost to Heretics, but they won against G2 Esports, who are considered the main favorites of the tournament, but then lost to SK Gaming.
Rogue went 1-2 in the first week, which is not good, but not critical either. But then things got much worse, which led Rogue to a 2-6 record before the start of the final match. And they lost it, thus taking the TOP-9.
LEC Spring 2024 Rogue failed. Just like in LEC Winter 2024, the team did not make it out of the group stage, finishing in the TOP-9. Things were not much better in LEC Summer 2024, where Rogue showed absolutely nothing: TOP-10.
Rogue also visited LEC Winter 2025 where they showed their “standard” game – TOP-10. There is no need to talk about the playoffs.
At LEC Spring 2025, Rogue started with a loss to Team Heretics and also lost to BDS.
Most Popular Rogue Champions
The top was equally dominated by Ornn (4 matches, 25% wins), Gangplank (4 matches, 100% wins), Gnar (4 games, 50% wins), and Gwen (4 matches, 50% wins).
Wukong (4 matches, 75% wins), Vi (3 games, 33% wins), Trundle (3 matches, 33% wins) were picked into the jungle.
In the center we played with Azir (6 matches, 66% wins), Taliyah (4 games, 25% wins).
The ADC position was filled by Kalista (5 matches, 40% win rate), Ezrael (3 matches, 66% win rate), Sivir (3 matches, 66% win rate).
For support, the following were chosen: Renata Glasc (3 games, 33% wins), Rakan (3 matches, 100% wins), Nami (2 matches, 100% wins).
Vitality – Rogue Personal Meeting History
The teams have played each other three times in the last year, with the score 2-1 in favor of Rogue.
Rogue vs. Vitality Predicted Result at LEC Spring 2025
I expect Vitality to win this match. They showed a decent performance in the LEC Winter Split, and Rogue in their current form looks like a team that can be squeezed out of points.
Result: Vitality wins.
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