Maç Tahmini: T1 - KT Rolster | LoL

The matches of the LCK Spring 2024 regular season are ongoing. The last week of the first half of the South Korean league's spring split is gaining momentum, and soon we'll have the central match of the tour: T1 - KT Rolster.

The "Telecom Derby" promises to be intense. The history of T1 - KT Rolster meetings is of great significance to the local audience, so missing such a match is definitely not worth it. Especially when both teams are aiming for high placements in the LCK Spring 2024 standings.

Let's try to figure out who will be stronger and ultimately earn another victory in anticipation of the playoff slot distribution.

Let's go.

Form of T1

Let's start analyzing the match with an analysis of T1's form. Playing as the top seed has become a good tradition for T1, and the match KT Rolster - T1 will be no exception. The odds for T1 to win are around 1.2.

T1 won the LCK Spring 2022, and then three consecutive TOP-2 finishes: MSI, LCK Summer, and Worlds 2022.

The curse of TOP-2 continued into the 2023 season. At the beginning of the year, Faker and the company took 2nd place in LCK Spring 2023, and then finished third at MSI 2023.

• T1's lineup: Zeus, Oner, Faker, Gumayusi, Keria.

LCK Summer 2023 was a real challenge for T1. The team made it to the playoffs, but did so with difficulty, finishing 5th during the group stage with a score of 9-9.

There were problems with the main protagonist - Faker. The legendary mid laner injured his hand, which clearly affected T1's overall gameplay condition. But now Faker seems to be back in shape.

The Faker factor played its part. T1 defeated a serious opponent, Dplus, and paved their way to the next round, where KT Rolster will be their opponent. By the way, the latter chose T1 as their opponent themselves.

Next was an opponent as capable as Dplus. Faker and company played against KT Rolster and won that match with a score of 3-2.

In the match for the playoffs spot, T1 faced Gen.G. The former tried, and even led the game 2-1, but couldn't finish it off: Gen.G made a comeback, and Chovy proved to be better than his counterpart Faker.

In the match for the grand final, T1 almost lost to KT Rolster after an excellent start of 2-0. Gumayusi saved them, carrying them to victory on the 5th map with his Xayah.

However, they couldn't win the final. T1 faced their sworn enemy Gen.G, where they were crushingly defeated with a score of 0-3.

T1 opened Worlds 2023 with a match against Liquid. Being the clear favorite of the series, they closed the match against "Liquid" in their favor, however, it cannot be called an easy victory: Liquid held on for 36 minutes and lost only by 1 kill. Everything was decided in the final fight in the mid lane, after which T1 closed the series.

In the 1-0 basket, T1 ran into their kryptonite - the Gen.G team. Faker and company started great, but the first LCK team is the first to adjust the game tempo to their own and ultimately win the match.

Next, T1 met Cloud9. Perhaps it was the most crushing match out of all that was seen at this Worlds. Naturally, it ended in favor of T1.

After crushing Cloud9, T1 began to beat Bilibili Gaming, and they succeeded. T1 easily defeated the MSI 2023 runners-up with a score of 2-0.

In the playoffs, T1 played against LNG. Scout, who was not unreasonably called the best player of Worlds 2023, was so only until November 5: T1 wiped out LNG, winning the series with a score of 3-0.

In the semifinals of Worlds 2023, T1 faced, perhaps, the main contender for victory in the championship - JD Gaming. No matter how formidable the Chinese were, they couldn't outplay the experienced T1. As a result, Faker and company won the match with a score of 3-1, and T1 reached the grand final of the most important League of Legends tournament for the sixth (!) time. And then they won it for the 4th time, which is an absolute record in competitive League of Legends and in esports in general.

Before the game against KT Rolster, T1 played 9 matches. They won 8 of them.

T1's most popular champions

For the top lane, Fiora (5 matches, 60% win rate) was most often picked. There was also Jax (3 games, 100% win rate), Camille (2 matches, 100% win rate), Irelia (2 matches, 100% win rate).

In the jungle, Maokai (7 matches, 85% win rate) was picked most often, followed by Sejuani (4 games, 75% win rate), Viego (2 matches, 100% win rate).

In the mid lane, Azir (5 matches, 80% win rate) was dominant, followed by Sylas (3 games, 66% win rate), Kassadin (2 matches, 100% win rate), Ryze (2 games, 50% win rate).

For the marksman role, Varus (4 games, 50% win rate) and Lucian (4 games, 100% win rate) were popular picks.

Supports varied: Nami (3 games, 100% win rate), Ashe (3 games, 0 wins), Varus (2 games, 100% win rate), Miss Fortune (2 matches, 100% win rate).

KT Rolster's form

Continuing the match analysis with an analysis of KT Rolster's form. In this matchup, the eternal opponent of T1 plays as the second seed, with odds of around 4.3 to win.

In 2022, KT Rolster finished TOP-7 in LCK Spring 2022 and TOP-5 in LCK Summer 2022. However, their main "achievement" was reaching TOP-4 in the Regional Finals, but it didn't matter much: they still didn't make it to Worlds 2022.

The new season started better. In the very first LCK Spring 2023, KT Rolster climbed all the way to TOP-3. They were only stopped by Gen.G, who defeated them with a score of 1-3.

In LCK Summer 2023, KT Rolster clearly wanted to at least repeat their spring result. In the group stage, KT swept all their opponents, finishing with a score of 17-1.

In the first round of the playoffs, KT Rolster chose T1 as their opponent, confident in their success after a successful group stage. However, KT Rolster stumbled against T1 and lost the match with a score of 2-3.

In the first round of the lower bracket, KT Rolster faced HLE, who fell there after an uninspired loss to Gen.G. The match with KT ended with an identical scenario: 0-3, and here KT Rolster are.

• KT Rolster lineup: PerfecT, Pyosik, Bdd, Deft, BeryL.

Having entered the lower bracket, Rolster first dealt with Hanwha Life Esports (3-0), and then again played against T1. This time the victory was even closer, as KT Rolster led with a score of 2-0, but T1 is T1, capable of executing a reverse sweep and turning the series around with a score of 3-2 in their favor.

KT Rolster made it to Worlds 2023 through the South Korean regional finals. KT Rolster played only one series there against Hanwha Life Esports. Winning the match was not difficult, and Rolster joined T1 and Gen.G at the main and home tournament of the year.

Rolster opened the championship with a match against BLG, which they lost. Then there were two wins: first they defeated their regional colleagues from Dplus, and then surpassed Weibo Gaming.

With a score of 2-1, KT Rolster faced LNG Esports and lost with a score of 1-2. In the match for a spot in the playoffs, Rolster played against their compatriots from DPlus and easily defeated them with a score of 2-0.

However, KT Rolster failed to step further than the first round of the playoffs. They ran into JD Gaming and lost with a score of 1-3, thus ending their performance at Worlds in the TOP-8.

Before the derby with T1, KT Rolster are in 4th place in the standings with a record of 6-3.

KT Rolster's most popular champions

For the top lane, Fiora (5 matches, 60% win rate) was most often picked. There was also Jax (3 games, 100% win rate), Camille (2 matches, 100% win rate), Irelia (2 matches, 100% win rate).

In the jungle, Maokai (7 matches, 85% win rate) was picked most often, followed by Sejuani (4 games, 75% win rate), Viego (2 matches, 100% win rate).

In the mid lane, Azir (5 matches, 80% win rate) was dominant, followed by Sylas (3 games, 66% win rate), Kassadin (2 matches, 100% win rate), Ryze (2 games, 50% win rate).

The marksman picks were standard: Varus (4 games, 50% win rate), Lucian (4 games, 100% win rate).

Supports varied: Nami (3 games, 100% win rate), Ashe (3 games, 0 wins), Varus (2 games, 100% win rate), Miss Fortune (2 matches, 100% win rate).

Head-to-head history T1 - KT Rolster

KT and T1 played each other 5 times in the last 2 seasons. The score is 3-2 in favor of T1.Predicted result of the match KT Rolster - T1 in LCK Spring 2024

I expect a high-class League of Legends match from this game. T1 will most likely continue to experiment and play unconventionally, which KT Rolster must take advantage of. In my opinion, the match won't end with a clean victory for one side (probably T1), so I'm betting on a full BO3.

Outcome: total +2.5.